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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

The Interview - The Third Act

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 23 May 2020

⏱️ 78 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, joins Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal to analyze the state of markets at this unprecedented juncture of uncertainty and to reflect on a lifetime of macro investing. Raoul and Hugh explore how gold could perform in a debt deflation and whether central bank largesse is sufficient to help risk assets weather the storm. After a thorough investigation into the interplay between volatility and price, they contemplate the prospect of a “gilded depression” – one in which cataclysmic economic disaster is kept solvent by never-ending fiscal stimulus and where asset prices are continually re-inflated by incessant injections of central bank liquidity. Hugh can be found on Twitter at @hendry_hugh and on Instagram at hughhendryofficial.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

In this conversation, Rall speaks with his friend and Real Vision favorite Hugh Hendry,

0:09.8

founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management.

0:13.0

Rall and Hugh go in depth on their macro views.

0:16.0

They explore how gold could perform in a debt deflation

0:19.0

and why calls on equities are cheaper than puts

0:22.0

the more out of the money you go. It's a deep

0:24.4

investigation into volatility, gold, debt, and the interplay between all these

0:29.2

factors as well as an analysis of where we are in the macro cycle.

0:34.0

But it's more than that.

0:35.6

Rall and Hugh also looked back on their careers in finance and reflect on their journey in markets

0:41.2

to share the important lessons that they've learned, how to go about

0:44.6

building a macro framework, but more importantly, how to tell if your ideas are any good,

0:49.5

and if so, how to execute and manage risk. It's truly a fascinating conversation. Please enjoy. We've discovered you hidden in the Caribbean and got you back finally. You made an

1:07.9

appearance on Twitter and it was like there was no chance we weren't going to get

1:11.3

you back on Real Vision.

1:12.6

Hugh, how are you, my friend?

1:14.1

Yeah, I don't know how hidden I am, but certainly I've had my coming out

1:21.6

a moment.

1:23.0

So what are you thinking?

1:24.6

So you've obviously got something in your head

1:27.6

because you've started to reappear on Twitter

1:30.5

and I know you've had a chat with Grant recently.

...

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