The Intelligence Officer's Secret to Making Better Decisions - Anthony Vinci
Big Swings Only
American Negotiation Institute
4.7 • 751 Ratings
🗓️ 9 July 2026
⏱️ 73 minutes
🔗️ Recording | Apple Podcasts | RSS
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| 0:00.0 | Most of us think about what will happen in the world or in our life in this binary way, right? |
| 0:07.0 | This will happen or it won't happen, right? |
| 0:10.0 | Like that's just like the natural way to do it. |
| 0:13.0 | But really, the world is made up. |
| 0:15.0 | It's a spectrum of possibility. |
| 0:18.0 | And looking at things from a probabilistic, literal like percentage probability |
| 0:23.6 | way changes your whole approach to decision making. |
| 0:28.6 | The best decision makers in the world aren't smarter than you. |
| 0:31.6 | They just have a better system. |
| 0:32.6 | Anthony Vinci spent years building that system. |
| 0:35.6 | First as a CIA field officer, then as an entrepreneur, |
| 0:39.8 | and then as an investor in Bridgewater. My whole life had been about decision making. How do I help |
| 0:44.8 | a president make a decision or a general make a decision or when I was in finance? How do we make |
| 0:49.4 | a bit better decision about what to invest in? Or even me as a person, it's great. We've really been talking about it. |
| 0:55.0 | How do you make big life decisions? Anthony Vinci's book is The Fourth Intelligence Revolution. |
| 1:00.1 | His company is Vico Technologies. Anthony says the cost of bad decisions are huge and they stay with you |
| 1:06.6 | for life. This conversation will change the way you think about risk, calculated decision making, |
| 1:12.7 | and what it actually takes to make your big swathes. You know, one thing I learned in the period of my |
| 1:18.3 | life when I was an investor, that it was that great investors have people around them that can tell |
| 1:25.1 | them this is a bad idea and call out their weaknesses. And that could be hard. |
| 1:30.0 | If you have ever talked yourself out of making the right, life-changing decision, because the |
| 1:34.8 | risk felt too big, this episode is for you. |
... |
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