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The GOP Primary Is Basically Over

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.3K Ratings

🗓️ 24 January 2024

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In a late-night New Hampshire primary reaction edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew concludes that the GOP primary is basically over, even if not literally. They dig into the results and exit poll data to describe the coalitions that backed Trump and Haley and explain why this was Haley's best shot at scoring a win. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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There is somebody out there on Tik-Tock who will tell you who will win the election based on astrology.

0:37.0

I feel like political horoscopes is like a niche that someone is going to fill if they haven't already.

0:42.0

I'm sure no, it's already been filled.

0:43.5

But it's also, there's a long tradition here, like Nancy Reagan,

0:46.2

you know, famous astrology enthusiast.

0:49.5

We don't need a modeling or just your horoscope. Hello and welcome to this late night New Hampshire primary reaction edition of the 538 politics

1:06.7

podcast I'm Gailin Druk. We are sitting down to record at a quarter past 10 p.m. which is earlier than we expected at the time of this

1:16.0

recording there is about 60% of the expected votes in in the Republican

1:21.4

primary Donald Trump has 54% support,

1:25.0

while Nicky Haley has 45% support.

1:28.0

If you are inclined to look at the New York Times needle,

1:31.0

and I myself am, for the purposes at least of this

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