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Optimist Economy

The Ghost Recession: A Brief Economic History of Now

Optimist Economy

Kathryn Anne Edwards and Robin Rauzi

Public Policy, Economics, Government, Economy

4.9829 Ratings

🗓️ 23 September 2025

⏱️ 61 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The economic pain that Americans experienced in 2022-23 was dubbed the “vibesession,” suggesting that negative public sentiment was out of sync with a healthy economy. But what we were truly experiencing was more like a “ghost recession.” As the Fed squeezed the economy by raising interest rates from zero to above 5% to get inflation under control, only the extraordinary circumstances of the post-pandemic economy kept unemployment low and the economy growing. But if we had a ghost recession, that also means that the nascent 2024 “ghost recovery” screeched to a halt with the radical changes to economic policy this year. Also in this episode: What it means that 911,000 fewer jobs were created from spring 2024-2025, and many metaphor try-outs.

Revenge of the Vibecession | The New Yorker Birth-Death Model FAQ

THE THIN END OF THE WEDGE definition in American English | Collins English Dictionary

Economists’ models of inflation are letting them down [The Economist 2019]

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Okay. Are we ready?

0:03.2

We're ready.

0:04.2

The first line is yours, my friend.

0:09.2

Then give me one damn second.

0:13.7

Hello and welcome to Optimist Economy.

0:23.6

I'm Catherine.

0:24.6

I'm Robin.

0:25.6

On this show, we believe the U.S. economy can be better, and we talk about how to get there,

0:29.2

one problem and solution at a time.

0:34.5

At the top of our show, we like to make a few announcements.

0:41.4

First, I want to say that as of today, we have 517 ratings on Apple Podcasts,

0:46.6

which puts us extremely close to that 1% goal that we're after.

0:50.4

Also, I want to say about 25 people have joined Optimist Economy as spiritual sponsors this season.

0:55.5

We're so grateful for all of you.

0:57.5

This week, in particular, to Christy Barnes in Chapel Hill, North Carolina, and Tim S. in Silver Spring, Maryland.

1:03.3

And he says, thanks for helping me stay practically optimistic at a time when it's very hard.

1:08.4

It's real hard.

1:09.4

It's hard for us, too.

1:11.5

We had some great contributions to my executive order of things you're not allowed to say to a pregnant woman

1:17.1

that I just want to read here at the top, including any day now when, in fact, you're three months out.

1:24.3

Are you sure you aren't having twins?

1:26.9

So that person belongs in jail.

...

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