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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The GDP Growth Myth

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 7 October 2024

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Some economic measures are indicators for investors, others are red herrings. We unpack why gross domestic product is a sign of economic growth, but not always shareholder returns.   (00:12) Buck Hartzell and Dylan Lewis discuss: - What’s behind the sudden interest in China’s Shanghai Composite and its 20% run in September. - Research showing that high GDP growth doesn’t always turn into strong market returns for investors outside the U.S. - What to look for internationally, and why DLocal is a great small cap to study. (20:52) Can you find friends on a dating app? Platonic friends, that is. Mary Long caught up with Motley Fool Senior Analyst Alicia Alfiere for a look at Bumble, a dating app company that recently changed a foundational feature and is looking for growth in the friendship market.  Vote here to help Motley Fool Money take home Signal’s Best Money & Finance Show for 2024.   Companies discussed: BABA, TCEHY, MELI, DLO, BMBL, MTCH Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Buck Hartzell, Mary Long, Alicia Alfiere Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

When does growth not lead to growth?

0:07.0

Motley Full Money starts now.

0:09.0

I'm Dylan Lewis and I'm joined over the airwaves by Motley full analyst Buck Hartzel, Buck,

0:17.0

thanks for joining me.

0:18.0

Thanks for having me, Dylan.

0:19.0

It's great to be here.

0:20.0

I'm really glad I've got you here today because we are going global and we are going to be talking about some things that you've been following some articles that you sent over my way.

0:28.0

Take a look at the run in China's market recently as well as some research out that maybe one leading economic

0:36.3

indicator, not the best sign for investors or maybe one that they should be a little cautious

0:40.9

of.

0:41.9

To kick us off, this is our kind of why now for this

0:43.9

conversation. September was truly a magic month for investors in China. Shanghai

0:48.2

composite index up over 20% in the last two weeks of the month. That run took the index into the positives, brought things back to about two-year highs.

0:56.0

What's going on with what we're seeing here in China Buck?

0:59.0

Yeah, I mean, you mentioned it, Dylan, and I would caution people

1:02.0

we'll get into China here in just a caution people. We're bottoms up investors here at the fool.

1:06.0

What that generally means is I spend all my days

1:09.1

looking at individual companies, and I don't spend much time at all forecasting GDP or looking across

1:16.7

different kinds of macroeconomic variables and there's a reason for that

1:20.4

Dylan and it's largely because A I can't do it. I don't think I can kind of predict these things

1:25.4

There's too many variables that go into it and the other thing is a lot of the macro indicators and things that we see are lagging so they're lagging indicators when we look at stocks, they're forward-looking vehicles.

1:36.4

So we call them complex adaptive systems, the stock market, so it's forward-looking. And that's why stocks go

...

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