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Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips

The Final Countdown

Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips

Sky News

Politics, News, News Commentary

4.0156 Ratings

🗓️ 7 June 2017

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Adam Boulton is joined by The Times' senior political correspondent Lucy Fisher and Sky's Head of Data Harry Carr to take a deep breath and review the past seven weeks of general election campaigning. They discuss the personalities, the stand-out moments and the impact the campaigns have had on the volatile opinion polls. They also look forward to results night and pinpoint the seats to watch as the declarations come in. #GE2017 #SkyNews #AOP

Transcript

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0:00.0

Some people might describe cabri delights as just another cabri bar, a bit samey, very familiar.

0:09.0

Honestly, we'd be chuffed if they did, because delights have that same chocolatey cabri taste you've had a million times before, same soft nougar, same gooey caramel, but they're only 91 calories.

0:23.0

So, samey is exactly what we're going for.

0:26.6

Cabri delights.

0:27.6

Same cabri, only 91 calories.

0:33.6

Hello, welcome to the All-Out Politics podcast.

0:40.7

I'm Adam Bolton and joining me to look into what on earth has gone on during this election campaign

0:45.8

and what we should be expecting, perhaps, in the early hours of June the 9th,

0:50.2

are the senior political correspondent at the Times, Lucy Fisher.

0:53.6

Welcome to you and the head of Sky Data, Harry Carr.

1:01.3

Okay, Harry, should we start with what we should expect according to people like you, the pollsters?

1:08.0

Well, there's not really one single answer to that at the moment.

1:11.7

So there has been, there's definitely been a swing towards the Conservatives, so that's,

1:16.3

all pollsters think that.

1:18.2

But where they've ended up is a big question.

1:21.2

So somewhere between, so Comres, I think, are on 12 point lead for the Conservatives, ICM,

1:26.6

so an 11 point lead, but that goes down to

1:29.0

just one point for the latest servation poll. The question is who's actually going to be right.

1:36.1

I think if it had been the same methodologies as were being used in 2015, then we would be seeing

1:43.1

a conservative lead across all of them

1:46.0

of actually correlatively similar numbers.

1:48.0

If you look under the bonnet, it basically shows the raw numbers as being four-ish percent

...

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