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Best of the Spectator

The End of Experts: How voters and shoppers confounded the wonks

Best of the Spectator

The Spectator

News Commentary, News, Daily News, Society & Culture

4.4785 Ratings

🗓️ 11 January 2017

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With Fraser Nelson, James Forsyth, Damian Thompson, Cristina Odone, and Freddy Gray. Presented by Isabel Hardman.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to The Spectator podcast. I'm Isabel Hardman.

0:08.2

On this week's podcast, we'll be reappraising the role of experts, scrutinising the chaotic papacy and checking in with the Court of King Donald.

0:16.0

First up, in this week's cover story, Fraser Nelson writes that the definitive quote from the EU referendum

0:21.1

was one that the speaker, Michael Gove, had never meant to make.

0:25.1

Here's how it sounded during that interview with Faisal Islam.

0:27.5

I think the people in this country have had enough of experts with organisations from acronyms saying...

0:33.6

People of this country have had enough of experts.

0:36.1

What do you mean by now?

0:37.3

...with organisations with acronyms saying that they know what is best in getting it consistently wrong.

0:40.8

Because these people, these people are the same ones who've got consistently wrong.

0:45.4

This is proper happening.

0:47.5

But was that really the point that Gove was making?

0:49.8

And, eight months on, was he actually right about experts?

0:53.6

Fraser joins me to discuss this,

0:55.4

along with the spectator's political editor, James Forsyth. So Fraser, you say in your piece that

1:00.0

there's not very much point anymore trusting experts, so who should we listen to, surely not

1:04.1

journalists? Well, I'm not saying you shouldn't listen to experts. It's just that there's a

1:09.1

difference between somebody who understands economics and somebody who's able to predict the future. I mean, the best economists will tell you

1:15.5

that they are not clairvoyance. They make this point quite forcefully. I remember Robert Choate,

1:19.7

who runs the Office for Budget Responsibility, was once on news night where he was being challenged

1:23.8

about his estimates saying, look, what if these are wrong? And he replied, well, of course they're wrong. Economic forecasts. They're always wrong. We make a bunch of

1:31.2

estimates, we put them into a computer. All it takes us for one of these estimates to be wrong and

...

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