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Post Reports

The doomsday scenarios if the U.S. defaults

Post Reports

The Washington Post

Daily News, Politics, News

4.45.1K Ratings

🗓️ 17 May 2023

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today on “Post Reports,” what could happen if the United States government fails to raise the debt limit by the deadline.


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Yesterday, President Biden met with congressional leadership to talk about the “X date”; that’s the date after which the Treasury projects the U.S. government would no longer be able to pay its bills. The “X date” is June 1, and if a deal isn’t struck by then, the United States would default on its debt.


If the United States were to default, that could mean a variety of catastrophic economic consequences: millions of federal workers furloughed; Social Security and Medicare payments suspended; a stock market collapse; an economic recession.


White House economics reporter Jeff Stein explains these “doomsday” scenarios and breaks down what could happen to the U.S. economy, and even the global economy, if a deal isn’t reached.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Yesterday, President Biden met with congressional leadership to talk about this issue that everyone

0:07.0

in Washington is freaking out about the X-Date.

0:10.6

I love one like the economic nerds give us a fun term to work with.

0:15.8

That's Jeff Stein.

0:16.8

He's an economics reporter for the post and he's been reporting on the X-Date.

0:22.2

That's the deadline for the US government to raise the debt limit.

0:25.8

If that doesn't happen, then the US will default on its debt and that is a huge deal.

0:36.4

At the risk of sounding alarmist, if the US were to default on its debt, we would be looking

0:40.6

at potentially millions of federal workers furloughed, social security and Medicare recipients,

0:46.1

not getting critical life-saving payments, a stock market collapse, an economic recession,

0:51.5

a really scary set of doomsday scenarios.

0:54.7

The X-Date is June 1st and as we barrel towards that deadline, economists are trying to figure

0:59.8

out exactly what would happen if we miss it because the US has never failed to pay its bills.

1:04.8

Well, except for that one time.

1:06.8

There's like the war of 1812, they didn't pay it for a week and I gotta be like,

1:11.2

it's so annoying.

1:13.0

People will email you, it's not unprecedented, like James Madison.

1:18.2

Okay, since James Madison hasn't happened, but for real.

1:22.4

We would really be an uncharted territory never before in the modern history of the country

1:27.2

as the US government failed to make a payment and that failure could really imperil the

1:33.4

global economy and the US economy and we just don't know because this has never happened

1:38.8

before.

...

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