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The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe Wednesday - July 17, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Dividend Growth Investing, Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Monetary Policy, Business, Retirement Planning, Investing, Estate Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 17 July 2024

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today's Dividend Cafe discusses the mixed outcomes in the market, focusing on the performance of the Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ. Key topics include technological sell-offs due to tariff talks, outperformance of value stocks, and updates on economic indicators such as housing starts, building permits, and industrial production. Additionally, Brian provides insights into what to expect from tomorrow's economic releases and Fed speakers.

00:00 Introduction

00:06 Market Performance

00:32 Technology Sector

00:58 Value Stocks and Small Caps

01:46 Housing and Industrial Production Updates

02:59 Upcoming Economic Indicators

03:14 Conclusion

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:14.0

Welcome to Dividendon Cafe. It is Wednesday, July the 17th.

0:18.0

In what was another mixed day today actually in markets the Dow ended up

0:22.3

250 plus points 253 points on the day the S&P was down 1.4 almost 1.4% and the

0:31.4

NASDAQ was down 2.77% so a big sell-off in technology the point drop actually on the NASDAQ was over 500 points lower.

0:41.2

So double that of the Dow positive was the NASDAQ lower. So quite a disparity in returns.

0:46.1

Part of that was tariff talk, both from Trump, but also Biden on imports from China, particularly in the

0:53.2

semiconductor space,

0:54.3

which is that technology sleeve,

0:56.5

which is more NASDAQ heavy.

0:57.7

And so that's what's all a large part of the selloff today

1:01.2

in that part of the market.

1:02.7

But it's another relative outperformance technically

1:05.9

for the equal weighted S&P versus the cap weighted.

1:08.5

It's over 100 basis points on the day. That's the second day in a

1:11.7

row. And you've got things like value stocks, cyclicals, small caps, all outperforming. And I wrote about

1:19.6

this a little bit in what's on Brian's mind. But there are times, in fact, most times when rate cycles

1:26.2

go the other way, meaning they start

1:27.6

cutting interest rates, things like small caps actually underperform by an average of about

1:32.2

7%. But a lot of that is because those time periods tend to be associated with recessionary

1:37.4

periods. And the times that aren't recessionary, meaning the Fed cuts rates and we're not a negative

1:42.9

growth trajectory.

...

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