The Death Toll in Syria
More or Less
BBC
4.6 • 3.7K Ratings
🗓️ 6 September 2013
⏱️ 28 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Tim Harford looks at the different claims made about how many people have been killed in the apparent chemical attack in Syria. The cost of care has forced a million families to sell their homes in the past five years, it’s been reported – but is it true? What can statistics tell us about the safety of Super Puma helicopters? Tim finds out whether left-handers really die nine years earlier than right-handers. And, he assesses the facts behind the claim that 300,000 attempts have been made to access pornographic websites at Parliament in a year.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Thank you for downloading more or less from the BBC. This is the version of the |
| 0:04.1 | programme first broadcast on BBC Radio 4. Here's Tim Halford. |
| 0:08.7 | Hello and welcome to more or less, the programme which applies the firm |
| 0:13.0 | smack of numerical correctness to the outstretched palm of |
| 0:16.3 | devious politicians and lazy journalists. Or is that lazy politicians and |
| 0:20.4 | devious journalists I can never remember? First, an apology to all the left-handed |
| 0:25.3 | listeners who were expecting to listen to our item last week. |
| 0:28.7 | We'll get to it this time. But if you believe all you're told, |
| 0:32.0 | the chances of you surviving to hear our conclusions are slim. |
| 0:35.6 | Right-handed people live on average nine years longer than left-handed people. |
| 0:40.7 | But first, the all-consuming subjects of the war in Syria, |
| 0:44.5 | and the prospect of Western intervention after a chemical weapons attack to the |
| 0:48.4 | east of Damascus. How many people were killed by this attack? |
| 0:53.3 | The US government says 1,429, including 426 children. France, |
| 1:00.2 | which has committed itself to joining the US in military action, says 281 |
| 1:05.5 | people died. The British Foreign Office hasn't given an official |
| 1:09.0 | number at all, but the Joint Intelligence Committee says that at least |
| 1:12.4 | 350 people were killed. And Moscow says it's ludicrous to say that the Syrian |
| 1:17.6 | regime used chemical weapons at all. All very puzzling. |
| 1:22.0 | I called up Kelly Greenhill, a professor of political science at Tufts University in the US, |
| 1:26.9 | and co-author of a book about the politics of crime and conflict statistics, |
| 1:31.4 | called sex, drugs, and body counts. I asked her why the numbers varied so wildly, |
... |
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