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The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Wednesday, November 8, 2023

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Estate Planning, Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Investing, Monetary Policy, Dividend Growth Investing, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 8 November 2023

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3My1KhW

Futures were as quiet as could be last night, and markets followed suit in a benign trading range that came off the lows mid day to close slightly higher and extend our November rally at least on the SP500. To be fair, we did come into November with only 17% of the SP500 having a positive three month return so were set up well for a rally and while the market did close higher yesterday the advance decline ratio on the NYSE was a dismal -1.6 to 1, so we are losing some steam here.

The top two weightings of the SP500 (one makes Windows and the other the iPhone), now make up 14.6% of the index and each have larger market caps than the entirety the UK FTSE 100, the French CAC and German DAX indices. To say the market remains top heavy in big tech is an understatement.

US and Chinese economic dependency on one another (one to make widgets and one to buy them), has continued to decline. The US now imports more from Mexico than from China for the first time since 2003, and China is recycling less of those dollars back into US Treasuries as a result. Both of these tie into why private foreign investors make up a larger piece of Treasury buying and why, in addition to slowing Chinese economic fundamentals, the Yuan has devalued against the dollar this year. All this and more in todays video podcast.

Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets.

0:14.1

Well, hello, welcome to D.C. Today. My name is Brian Saitel, and it's great to be with you all again today. It is Wednesday, November the 8th and another technically positive day in markets, although

0:27.7

not hugely positive and futures coming into this morning were just as quiet.

0:32.7

Markets actually traded up in the morning.

0:34.7

They traded down a little bit through midday.

0:36.6

And there was some comments

0:37.9

from Federal Reserve, J. Powell at a conference with some opening remarks that were perceived

0:43.7

to be a little bit more doveish. And you got a little bit of basis points out of some of the

0:48.1

yield curve and a little bit more in stocks and risk assets following that.

0:56.9

But all in all, we basically closed flat on the day.

0:58.7

The Dow is actually down 40 points.

1:03.4

The S&P and the NASDAQ were up 10.110th of 1%. So a pretty quiet day.

1:05.4

The 10-year yield dropped five basis points again.

1:07.9

That was sort of after some of those comments from from j pal.

1:11.8

So technically we're we're sort of extending our November rally and I wrote this in there,

1:16.6

but we sort of we came into November with a pretty dismal internal market metrics.

1:23.7

The about 17% only about 17% of the S&P 500 was showing or reflecting a positive trailing three-month

1:30.0

return so we were kind of due for for for for a bounce and then we also got again the fed

1:37.4

you know holding rate steady and as much telegrafting that they're basically done with their rate

1:42.9

tightening campaign at this point.

1:44.6

So markets are feeling a little better.

1:47.8

The steam is coming out a little bit of this thing, though.

...

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