The DC Today - Wednesday, June 7, 2023
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 7 June 2023
⏱️ 11 minutes
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Summary
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3Joqzf1
Big rally in Energy and Real Estate today even as other markets stalled and reversed.
The media world went into a trance this morning before the market opened on the news that CNN’s CEO, Chris Licht, had been fired. Though not much of a market story, it distracted everyone for the day and allowed it to be a mostly boring day in the world of financial media.
As expected, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, and Doug Burgum (billionaire Governor of North Dakota) have all entered the Presidential race this week, vying for the Republican nomination. Add them to the list that includes Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis as top candidates and then Nikki Haley and Tim Scott, and you have basically 7-10 total candidates, two of which poll high, three of which poll a little, and the rest of which poll basically not at all. It’s going to be a wild summer. And I am sure at some point, I will have to talk about it more in terms of policy and market implications, but we are nowhere near that point yet. For now, my forecasts are rather simple: I am dubious that Joe Biden will end up being the Democrat nominee; I am highly dubious that former President Trump can win a general election; and I believe there is a candidate or two who could beat President Trump for the Republican nomination, but am as unsure as anyone else as to whether or not that will happen. There are so many wildcards out there right now; predictions are a fool’s errand.
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:13.5 | Well, hello, and welcome to the Wednesday edition of DC Today. A very interesting day in markets because the NASDAQ was actually down 1.3%. The S&P |
| 0:24.2 | was down about 0.4%. The Dow was up 92 points, which was just 28 basis points. So that kind of |
| 0:32.1 | disconnect between the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ, isn't that extreme. And in fact, that disconnect has been there quite a bit the other way lately with the Dow |
| 0:41.7 | down and NASDAQ up. |
| 0:43.8 | So I don't think there's anything particularly abnormal about market indices today and even |
| 0:48.7 | their relative performance relative to one another. |
| 0:52.4 | But energy being up 256 basis points today, when communication services and technology were |
| 1:01.1 | each down over one and a half percent, that I'm not sure has happened all year. |
| 1:06.3 | And if it has, it's definitely not happened more than once. |
| 1:09.5 | A 400 basis point spread between energy and tech in one day, favoring energy, that is, |
| 1:17.1 | has been really, was very common last year and has been not at all common this year. |
| 1:23.3 | And so that was kind of the unique thing in today. |
| 1:26.0 | Energy of 2.56% technology down 1.6, communication services down 1.8. |
| 1:34.0 | And then you got bond yields going higher on the 10-year nine basis points. |
| 1:40.0 | It's up to 379 as a 10-year yield. |
| 1:43.7 | So a little continued sell-off in the bond market. |
| 1:48.1 | And crude oil with that energy rally was up, but not huge, 1.2%. |
| 1:52.9 | So crude is it sitting at $72.5 a barrel. |
| 1:58.3 | So really still kind of anchored into that low 70s mark, |
| 2:02.0 | but off of the lower level in the mid to high 60s that it's hit a few times lately, |
| 2:09.1 | but still kind of hovering. |
... |
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