The DC Today - Tuesday September 13, 2022
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 14 September 2022
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Summary
The Consumer Price Index (Headline CPI) came in +8.3% over where it was a year ago. Core CPI (which excludes food and energy) came in at +6.3% versus a year ago. Food prices and the lagging effect of shelter cost put upward pressure on prices while energy prices and used cars put downward pressure on prices.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:10.0 | Well, hello and welcome to what I guess is more like the official first DC today where we're doing the podcast. |
| 0:19.0 | We did it yesterday, but first of all, we had some audio |
| 0:21.8 | challenges, but second of all, it was still with the long form written DC today, and it was actually |
| 0:27.1 | a particularly long DC today. So now we've started this new program, and I'm coming to you |
| 0:34.7 | today with a podcast, and in your inbox, you've also received a |
| 0:39.2 | written kind of summary of the market and an ask David and some of those things. And of course, |
| 0:43.8 | on the first day we decide to do this, you have the worst day in the markets since summer of |
| 0:51.7 | 2020. It's over two years. I think it's about 27 months, and I didn't look at it across |
| 0:58.6 | each index, but at least that's the case with the Dow. So I want to be able to kind of address |
| 1:04.7 | to you a few things that happen. I'm going to keep my readers nearby to go to the screen with |
| 1:08.9 | some data points, but let me do this normally here, so I don't have my eyes go out on me. |
| 1:14.6 | Look, initially, the futures were up this morning about 200 points and the Dow has been up about |
| 1:21.6 | 1,500 points or something in the last 10 days. |
| 1:26.6 | And you then had the futures go from plus 200 to minus 300 in a matter of minutes this morning. |
| 1:34.6 | So that immediately tells you that there was some positioning that got real throttled by |
| 1:39.8 | the CPI report. |
| 1:41.7 | Now, the headline number, when you say, okay, CPI was up 8.3% and we were expecting |
| 1:46.8 | it as year over a year, and we were expecting it to be up 8.1%, you don't really think that that's |
| 1:53.5 | going to cause a 1,300 point drop in the markets. And this is the thing I cannot explain |
| 1:59.4 | emphatically enough. |
| 2:07.0 | It was not merely today in the selling pressure that people were so distraught by the CPI being 0.2% higher than projected. |
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