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The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Tuesday September 13, 2022

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Business, Dividend Growth Investing, Monetary Policy, Investing, Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Estate Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 14 September 2022

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Consumer Price Index (Headline CPI) came in +8.3% over where it was a year ago. Core CPI (which excludes food and energy) came in at +6.3% versus a year ago. Food prices and the lagging effect of shelter cost put upward pressure on prices while energy prices and used cars put downward pressure on prices.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:10.0

Well, hello and welcome to what I guess is more like the official first DC today where we're doing the podcast.

0:19.0

We did it yesterday, but first of all, we had some audio

0:21.8

challenges, but second of all, it was still with the long form written DC today, and it was actually

0:27.1

a particularly long DC today. So now we've started this new program, and I'm coming to you

0:34.7

today with a podcast, and in your inbox, you've also received a

0:39.2

written kind of summary of the market and an ask David and some of those things. And of course,

0:43.8

on the first day we decide to do this, you have the worst day in the markets since summer of

0:51.7

2020. It's over two years. I think it's about 27 months, and I didn't look at it across

0:58.6

each index, but at least that's the case with the Dow. So I want to be able to kind of address

1:04.7

to you a few things that happen. I'm going to keep my readers nearby to go to the screen with

1:08.9

some data points, but let me do this normally here, so I don't have my eyes go out on me.

1:14.6

Look, initially, the futures were up this morning about 200 points and the Dow has been up about

1:21.6

1,500 points or something in the last 10 days.

1:26.6

And you then had the futures go from plus 200 to minus 300 in a matter of minutes this morning.

1:34.6

So that immediately tells you that there was some positioning that got real throttled by

1:39.8

the CPI report.

1:41.7

Now, the headline number, when you say, okay, CPI was up 8.3% and we were expecting

1:46.8

it as year over a year, and we were expecting it to be up 8.1%, you don't really think that that's

1:53.5

going to cause a 1,300 point drop in the markets. And this is the thing I cannot explain

1:59.4

emphatically enough.

2:07.0

It was not merely today in the selling pressure that people were so distraught by the CPI being 0.2% higher than projected.

...

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