The DC Today - Thursday, December 1, 2022
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 1 December 2022
⏱️ 9 minutes
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Summary
December has launched and I have some things to tell you …
MARKET ACTION Dow: Down -195 points (-0.56%) S&P: -0.09% Nasdaq: +0.13% 10-Year Treasury Yield: 3.50% (- 19 basis points); down 72bps from the 4.22% high of just five weeks ago! Top-performing sector: Communication Services (+0.29%) & Health Care (+0.24%) Bottom-performing sector: Financials (-0.71%) WTI Crude Oil: $81.28/barrel (+0.91%) Key Economic Point of the Day:
The Fed’s favorite inflation measurement (PCE) came in up just +0.2% on the month, less than the +0.3% expected, and known to be tainted by the misleading contribution of housing’s lag effect (which I have written about extensively). The September gain had been +0.5%, so the stock and bond market responded favorably to the disinflationary trend. Initial jobless claims came in at 225,000, actually lower than expected
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets. |
| 0:15.5 | All right. Well, hello. Welcome to the very first DC today of the month of December. It's Thursday. We are now through December the 1st and a few things to update you regarding the market. |
| 0:28.8 | And a few kind of news events and economic data points I want to go through today. |
| 0:33.5 | Let me have the market data points out of the way. |
| 0:36.8 | When you had a kind of rally like you saw yesterday that really wasn't rooted in a ton of fundamental logic, it's always interesting what will happen on the second day. |
| 0:47.6 | And to have bound 750 points yesterday, and it really was 950 because you had been down 200. |
| 0:53.4 | And then to only get back 195 today, that's a reasonably strong sign technically. |
| 0:59.5 | The S&P was only down nine basis points today. |
| 1:03.3 | And the NASDAQ was actually up 13 basis points. |
| 1:06.3 | So you basically more or less had a kind of flat S&P and NASDAQ. |
| 1:09.9 | And you had a really not that much |
| 1:12.7 | down Dow after this massive move higher. But the biggest thing to kind of give you an indication |
| 1:19.8 | of the confirmation in financial markets, which is broader than just the stock market, but |
| 1:26.4 | across financial markets is in the bond market. |
| 1:29.5 | The 10-year treasury yield today closed at 3.5%. |
| 1:33.4 | 3.5 down at 19 basis points today. |
| 1:38.4 | I believe it was down 14 bips yesterday. |
| 1:41.7 | It is down 72 basis points from the high that we had seen in many, many years |
| 1:48.0 | of 4.22 percent, and that was just five weeks ago. So in five weeks, you've gone from four point, |
| 1:56.4 | let's call it four and a quarter to three and a half. So that's a huge rally in bonds in the last |
| 2:03.4 | five weeks. And again, by rally, I mean, the prices of bonds going higher as the yields have gone |
| 2:08.7 | lower. On the equity side today, the top performing sectors weren't up a ton. Communication services |
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