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The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Monday, December 5, 2022

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Wealth Management, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Retirement Planning, Business, Investing, Dividend Growth Investing, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 5 December 2022

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Futures opened last night down -40 points and stayed around there into the evening. This morning they pointed to a down -100 open pre-market and worsened a bit from there. The market opened down -175 points and worsened throughout the day, though it came a hundred points off the low late in the trading day The Dow closed down -483 points (-1.4%), with the S&P 500 down -1.79% and Nasdaq down -1.93%

Markets on Friday gave us the full gamut of today’s idiocy, as futures quickly dropped over -400 points upon the God-awful news that more jobs were created than expected last month and that lower-income people were making a little more than they had the year before. Then, hours later, markets finished to the upside after a day of volatile trading. Right now, consensus expectations are for $232/share of earnings for the S&P 500 next year, about 7-8% lower than what their peak expectations were but +5% higher than the $221 level of this calendar year. The best thing I can say is that if we had a recession in 2023, and earnings were up +5% on the year, that would be a rarity. The ten-year bond yield closed today at 3.58%, up eight basis points on the day. Top-performing sector for the day: Utilities (-0.60%) Bottom-performing sector for the day: Consumer Discretionary (-2.95%) Most cyclical sectors were down the most today; the most defensive sectors were down the least (but all were down)

Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the DC Today, your daily market synopsis of the Dividing Cafe, brought to you every Monday through Thursday to bring you up-to-date information and perspective on financial markets.

0:15.3

Well, hello and welcome to the extended day, D.C. Today, Monday is where I go back to our old school style and there's

0:23.7

quite a bit in the written DC Today and, you know, the normal categories we're going to cover.

0:28.3

I'll walk through it for you who have gotten accustomed to listening to the podcast watching the video.

0:34.7

But the long and short of it is that it was a definite risk off day in markets.

0:40.2

The Dow ended up on the day down 483 points, 1.4%. The S&P, though, was down 1.8 and the NASDAQ

0:50.4

down over 1.9. Pretty substantial give up. You know, you can say, well, I guess that

0:56.4

unemployment report on Friday was too good. And then the market was panicking about the Fed tightening

1:03.1

more. But of course, that came out of 5.30 in the morning on Friday. And the market did drop 400

1:08.4

points in the futures market Friday morning.

1:12.2

It's funny, I was taping an interview for Maria Bartaromo's Wall Street week on Friday morning before the market had opened.

1:24.1

And then it's not going to air until Friday night.

1:27.7

And we had just gotten the unemployment number and the futures are down four or

1:30.9

500 points and she's interviewing me.

1:33.0

And the tone of the questions is this thing where like when you're doing rare,

1:37.1

not live TV, you have to talk as if like there's an update,

1:41.4

but then, you know, not box yourself in because of what could change by the time it airs. I think this is the only show I've ever done that isn't live. My guys may correct me on that, but I mean, I do this show, you know, four or five times a year and we tape it Friday morning and airs Friday night. I'm used to doing it. It's a great show, by the way.

2:05.0

But anyways, it's weird when you're talking about something, knowing it's in air differently.

2:13.8

Well, sure enough, the market closed up 40 points on Friday. And then, let's see, is that right? I believe it was 40.

2:19.2

Close enough. Yeah.

2:21.0

That's right.

2:35.2

And so my point being, I watch it Friday night, and all of a sudden the way of which is edited and the knobs are turned, you know, they do a very good job because the questions I was answering were the context of being down 400, but they kind of got to rework the way it sounded as if that

...

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