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Left, Right & Center

The 2026 midterms are closer than they appear

Left, Right & Center

KCRW

News, 352865

4.24.8K Ratings

🗓️ 2 January 2026

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

2026’s first primary is just two months away. Both parties are trying to get voters to believe in their ability to address the affordability crisis. Republicans are combatting President Trump’s conflicting perspective on the economy. Democrats are hoping to solidify their voice for voters after struggling to find a message that connected with them in 2024. Our panel breaks down which races could help define their identities - and reshape Congress - in the year ahead.


Online prediction markets have reintroduced election betting to the American public. Companies like Kalshi and Polymarket have grown in popularity for allowing users to wager on everything from wars to the weather - as well as elections. Now, major media outlets are looking to embed their odds into their news coverage. Is there any upside to gamifying politics?


As one listener writes, admitting when you’re wrong is a key part of engaging with politics. So where did our panel miss the mark in 2025?


Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Left, Right and Center, everybody, and welcome to 2026. Happy New Year. Not just happy New Year, happy midterm election year, because this is going to give us a whole lot to talk about in the coming weeks and months. And I could not be more excited to be talking about all of this and ringing in the new year here in Washington,

0:22.2

D.C. with two fellow election junkies on our left, right and center panel. On the left,

0:28.4

Moa Lathie is here. He's executive director at Georgetown University's Institute of Politics

0:32.9

and Public Service. He was communications director for the Democratic National Committee and

0:37.1

also advised Hillary

0:38.1

Clinton on the right. Mike Dupke, Mike's a veteran GOP communication strategist and advisor. He was the

0:43.6

White House director of communications under Donald Trump in 2017. Wow, we've gone from 2017 and

0:49.7

we're in 2026. That is wild. So, I mean, in case anyone forgot where our favorite show, American politics, left off in 2025, Democrats had some strong show in elections that happened in 2025 and are certainly looking to ride a wave of successful races to maybe control of the

1:14.7

house and control of more of Congress and more of Washington this year. Republicans, on the

1:21.2

other hand, are looking to maintain their fledgling grasp on a majority in both chambers.

1:26.6

They've also been looking to create new seats to strengthen their majority at the request of President Trump, though that redistricting push could be floundering some. The president, for what it's worth, sounded, I would say less than thrilled at the GOP's prospects for the midterms. In an interview, he did not so long

1:46.0

ago at the Wall Street Journal. You know, he went on about what he claims has been historic

1:51.3

economic progress, but he said he didn't know if his version of success was going to trickle

1:57.0

down to Republican candidates this fall. So instead of the president or the betting

2:03.8

public, and we're going to have more on the betting public a little later in this show,

2:07.6

I want to turn to Mo and Mike to help us understand what we might be looking for and make

2:12.7

some predictions for the rest of 2026. Mike, let me start with you. I mean, there are, in the House and Senate, 535 total congressional seats and 470 are on the ballot in November.

2:26.8

Do they all matter?

2:28.2

No, they don't all matter.

2:29.2

Do any of, do many of them matter when it comes to sort of the larger questions of who controls Washington?

2:34.7

And we should say they all matter because this is who is representing voters in their communities.

2:38.3

I don't want to be tongue-and-cheek.

...

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