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Robert Wright's Nonzero

Techno-Optimism vs. Techno-Pessimism (Robert Wright & Reid Hoffman)

Robert Wright's Nonzero

Nonzero

News & Politics, Society & Culture, Philosophy

4.7618 Ratings

🗓️ 17 January 2024

⏱️ 86 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

0:31 Reid’s deep roots in the tech world 4:30 The kind of AI pessimism that irks Reid the most 16:16 Can (and should) we slow down AI progress? 28:16 Could AI help resolve international disputes? 34:51 The promise and perils of perspective-taking AIs 47:36 Why Reid co-wrote Impromptu with GPT-4 52:15 Where are the AI optimists? 1:00:32 Sam Altman and the OpenAI drama: a (semi-) behind-the-scenes view 1:14:49 How dangerous is open-source AI, really? 1:20:09 Is AI acceleration decelerating? 1:23:02 Engagement with China and “organic transparency”

Robert Wright (Bloggingheads.tv, The Evolution of God, Nonzero, Why Buddhism Is True) and Reid Hoffman (Greylock Partners, Inflection AI, Impromptu, Possible). Recorded January 9, 2024.

Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.nonzero.org/subscribe

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to Robert Wright's Non-Zero Podcast.

0:33.4

Hi, Bob.

0:34.7

How are you doing?

0:36.2

Good. How are you? Happy New Year.

0:37.9

I can't complain. Happy New Year to you.

0:41.0

You know, this is going to be a pretty tumultuous year.

0:44.2

We've got, you know, the U.S. elections.

0:46.6

We've got two billion people coming up in democracy elections.

0:49.4

We've got Ukraine, Gaza, the world.

0:55.0

It's not looking altogether, reassuring if you ask me.

0:59.2

Then again, and this is one thing we will talk about, I am possibly a more anxious and

1:04.2

pessimistic person than you are.

1:06.4

I think that's probably generally true, although the diversity of, you know, cognitive diversity,

1:11.1

as you know, and advocate is a good thing relative to the adaptation of humanity, societies,

1:18.5

groups, communities. So, yes, I think I am generally speaking more optimistic, although I think

1:24.5

all rational people coming into this year are like, ooh, this is going to be a rough one.

1:29.4

Things aren't going to get less weird, possibly. So let me introduce this. I'm Robert Wright,

1:33.6

publisher, the non-zero newsletter. This is the non-zero podcast. You're Reid Hoffman.

1:38.0

I can spend quite a bit of time introducing you. Let me start with more recent stuff.

1:42.3

Your author of the book Impromptu about AI, you are co-founder

1:49.1

of inflection AI, which makes a bot called Pi, which we'll talk about, because it's very relevant

1:55.6

to your conception of how AI can be a good thing. You were a co-founder of OpenAI, which everyone has heard of by now. Well, not co-founder, but I was part of the team. I think the co-founders are a smaller group, but yes. Okay, so that's actually a technical term. I mean, you were one of the original people who put money in, weren't you? Yes, that's correct. Okay. And help the founding team and the founders do it.

...

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