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Wall Street Breakfast

Tech trade tide turning?

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 22 April 2024

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

UBS downgrades Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft and Nvidia. (0:16) Five risks to the $2 trillion private credit market. (1:55) Expect 13 new weight-loss drugs by '29. (5:11)

Show Notes
Goldman picks top capex and R&D stocks
Tesla skids to a new 52-week low with earnings on tap for Tuesday
Verizon gains as Q1 earnings top estimates

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:10.0

Good afternoon. Today is Monday, April 22nd I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far.

0:16.0

UBS sounded a warning on its list of big six tech companies.

0:20.0

Strategists led by Jonathan Golub, downgraded Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta platforms,

0:26.4

Microsoft and NVIDIA.

0:28.4

It cut all the stocks to neutral from overweight, citing earnings momentum reversal.

0:33.4

From its January 2023 lows to its April 2024 peak, Big Six Tech Plus stocks advanced 117%.

0:41.6

They have since declined 8%.

0:43.0

UBS's Tech Plus Stock Universe includes all the technology sector,

0:47.0

Internet retail within discretionary,

0:50.0

interactive media and services, interactive home Entertainment, and Netflix for Movies and Entertainment

0:55.1

within Communication Services.

0:57.2

Golub said, investors attribute the run and mega cap stocks to animal spirits and the impact

1:02.0

of AI. However, our work indicates that

1:04.5

surging earnings momentum, change in forward growth projections, fueled this upside.

1:09.5

This momentum is collapsing with big six EPS growth expected to decline from 42% to

1:15.1

16% over the next year while the rest of the Tech Plus and non-Tech Plus stocks

1:19.5

accelerate. Seeking Alpha analyst Ahanvashi writes that it's fair to say that the technical setup for big tech stocks heading into their Q1 reports is bearish.

1:28.0

While I expect Q1 earnings to be okay overall, the recent correction in the frothy Magnificent Seven basket

1:34.4

could deepen further in the upcoming weeks if the earnings and our forward guidance

1:38.4

falls short of lofty expectations. Conversely, blowout earnings from Big Tech Giants could restore investor confidence

1:45.6

and lead to a short-term bounce in equities. In today's trading, stocks have given up an early

...

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