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On The Market

Tariff Talks Put the Housing Market on Ice: Prices Down, Delinquencies Up

On The Market

BiggerPockets

News, Investing, Business, Education

4.8820 Ratings

🗓️ 10 March 2025

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mortgage rates are down, so the housing market should be entering a frenzy…right? Not quite. The buyer’s market seems alive and well, with sellers offering concessions as the housing market visibly “slows.” What’s causing it? New inventory hitting the market? Tariff talks leading to higher housing costs? We’re getting into it all in this episode as we hit on four of last week’s top headlines. First, how much will a new home cost now that tariffs are in place? With lumber, labor, and material prices all rising, there could be a five-figure added cost per home for homebuilders, making it even more expensive for buyers. Will labor costs continue to rise in 2025 after years of solid growth, or will renovators and flippers finally get relief? The housing market is slowing down even as we get closer to the spring homebuying season. Home prices are DOWN year-over-year, but one caveat makes this a half-truth. With more inventory hitting the market, buyers could have their pick! And that inventory could grow even greater as mortgage delinquencies start to rise—should we begin to worry? Enough speculation; let’s get into it! In This Episode We Cover How much more a new home will cost with the 2025 tariffs now put in place A worrying statistic about mortgage delinquencies investors must pay attention to Labor and material cost predictions for 2025: Can they keep rising? Updated housing inventory metrics and why sellers are struggling, ready to give concessions Why Henry really needs a hug this week And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 301 - Mortgage Rates Fall EVEN Further as “Tariff Tuesday” Triggers Stock Sell-Off Here’s how tariffs will hit the U.S. housing market Construction Industry Cost Insights for Q1 2025 Realtor’s February 2025 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Fourth Quarter of 2024 Case-Shiller Index Grab Henry’s Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker” Jump to topic: (00:00) Henry Needs a Hug (02:23) Homes Could Cost $10K More  (08:04) Construction Prices Rise  (11:36) The Market SLOWS Down  (19:55) Mortgage Delinquencies Are UP Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-302 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today, we're diving into the housing market headlines that are dominating the news.

0:09.4

Our panel of experts is here, Kathy Fecky, Henry Washington, and James Daynard, and we're bringing

0:14.1

together our takes on the key headlines that you should know about as a real estate investor.

0:19.5

Welcome to On the Market.

0:20.5

I'm Dave Meyer.

0:21.7

Let's jump in.

0:22.9

Kathy, how are you?

0:24.3

Great.

0:24.9

So happy to see you.

0:26.2

It's good to see you as well.

0:27.7

James, how you been?

0:28.8

I'm doing good.

0:29.8

Just trying to get some deals done.

0:31.0

Oh, I'm sure you are.

0:31.9

It's good to have the gang back together.

0:34.0

Henry, I would ask you how well you're doing, but you told this before recording that you're

0:37.9

having a bad real estate day. So we want to hear about it. We want to hear all about it. I've got the

0:43.0

real estate wells. Oh, I'm sorry, man. It's just one of those days. What happened? Well, this past week,

0:48.8

I was supposed to sell a flip and it got pushed because the property's on a well and I needed to have the well water tested.

0:58.1

And so we had the well water tested and it came back that there were some decontaminates in the

1:03.1

well water.

1:03.8

Uh-oh.

...

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