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Bloomberg Surveillance

Surveillance: Trade Friction Ahead, CIBC's Stretch Says

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

Business News, News, Investing, Business

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 14 October 2019

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Tom Orlik, Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist, updates us on trade talks between the U.S. and China. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, says the slowdown in Chinese manufacturing began before we had an escalation of trade tensions. Jeremy Stretch, CIBC Head of G10 FX Strategy, discusses why scheduled tariffs will be pushed "further into the distance" if progress is made. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Head of Banks and Diversified Finance Research, discusses what to watch as U.S. banks report third-quarter earnings this week. And David Sowerby, Ancora Managing Director & Portfolio Manager, says what we know for certain is that CEOs don't like uncertainty. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

On December 4th and 5th, against the backdrop of the United Nations Climate Change Conference,

0:05.2

Bloomberg Green will convene the foremost leaders in business, finance, policy, academia,

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and NGOs for candid conversations focused on creating solutions to support

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problem solvers in Dubai to build connections, inspire innovation, and challenge the status quo in the

0:25.1

battle against climate change. Register at Bloomberg Live. I'm Tom Keene.

0:43.5

Daily, we bring you insight from the best

0:45.9

in economics, finance, investment,

0:48.1

and international relations.

0:49.8

Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, Bloomberg.com, and of course, on the

0:56.4

Bloomberg.

0:57.4

Joining us now, Tom Orlick, Blumberg Economics Chief Economist, he joins us on the latest. Tom from your

1:03.7

position from your perspective looking at how things concluded on Friday are you

1:07.6

surprised this Monday morning that the Chinese still want further talks?

1:20.0

Certainly the indications coming out of China over the weekend haven't added to optimism, Jonathan.

1:21.0

As you mentioned, I think it's important that the Chinese official media is not using the term deal in any of their reporting on what happened and that obviously indicates there some distance still to travel.

1:33.8

At the same time, relative to where we were a month ago,

1:39.1

I think we're in a slightly better position,

1:41.3

and I remain cautiously optimistic that this very, very limited. a wants materially more concessions or do you think that this is just a matter of trying

1:54.6

to let people know they're trying the best that they can?

1:58.2

So I think they would certainly want those December 15th tariffs off the table. As you remember, that's the

2:05.5

tariff which would hit the consumer electronics sector. That's your iPads, your

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