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I'm really pleased to say that joining us now on the phone from Paris at the OECD

headquarters is Lawrence Boone,

OECD Chief Economist.

Lawrence, great to have you with us.

You're just out with your year ahead, trimming the outlook, but seeing a much bigger

problem potentially brewing for the decade ahead.

Just walk us through what you're seeing.

So that's true with actually projecting growth to remain stuck at 2.93% for the next two years and that's mostly due to all the uncertainty related to the

threat tensions but also to China, economic slowdown and much beyond that geopolitical and political

economy uncertainty.

Lawrence, how do you make a year ahead call?

...