Surveillance: Stimulus Hopes With Goldman's Cohen
Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg
3.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 8 October 2020
⏱️ 39 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist and Global Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, warns of the headwinds facing the U.S. economy. Rick Davis, Bloomberg Contributor and Former McCain Campaign Manager, explains how the terms of debates are negotiated as President Trump refuses to participate in a virtual debate. Michael Moore, Bloomberg News U.S. Finance Team Leader, discusses Morgan Stanley's acquisition of Eaton Vance. Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director and Senior Investment Strategist, says a blue wave in the 2020 U.S. election could benefit markets.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | With Bloomberg you get the story behind the story, the story behind the global birth rate, |
| 0:04.7 | behind your EV batteries environmental impact, behind sand. Yeah, sand, you get context. |
| 0:10.8 | And context changes everything. Go to Bloomberg.com to get context. Welcome to the Bloomberg surveillance podcast. I'm Tom Keene. |
| 0:28.0 | Daily, we bring you insight from the best in economics finance investment and international relations |
| 0:34.4 | find Bloomberg surveillance on Apple Podcasts soundcloud bloomer. com and of course on the |
| 0:41.4 | Bloomberg. Francis Donald joins us now with Manulai. |
| 0:45.0 | Francis let me take that headline of continued tariffs. |
| 0:47.0 | Can you make the assumption that any new tariffs diminish our economic growth |
| 0:52.0 | and if that's the case what is your run rate for the |
| 0:55.3 | economy into next year? Well you know in 2016, 2017, 2018 the economy economy was and put lightly booming. |
| 1:04.7 | It was doing really well. |
| 1:05.9 | It could take the near-term headwind of additional tariffs. |
| 1:09.2 | What would worry me heading into 2020 and 2021 |
| 1:11.8 | is, you know, we're still in the greatest economic shock in over 50 years. |
| 1:16.8 | This is not the time to be putting additional headwinds on this economy. |
| 1:20.6 | So you would find, I suspect, if you move towards additional tariffs, that you would have more |
| 1:25.6 | downward revisions. But you know your question is really well framed, which is what is the run |
| 1:29.8 | rate for the economy and what we've failed to talk about so much in COVID is what does the trend growth look like afterwards? |
| 1:36.3 | Are we getting back to 2% growth? My suspicion is because of a lot of the damage created here. |
| 1:41.5 | We're going to see a lot of people revising |
| 1:43.5 | down their potential GDP numbers and tariffs are just going to make that worse. |
| 1:47.2 | Well meanwhile though sticking on the tariffs and the sort of de-globalization theme |
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