Surveillance: Recession Risk With Blanchflower
Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg
3.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 15 October 2021
⏱️ 25 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor of Economics and Former Bank of England policy maker, weighs U.S. recession risk. Jennifer Lee, BMO Senior Economist, discusses the surprise increase in September retail sales. Christian Bolu, Autonomous Research Senior Analyst, assesses this week's big bank earnings as Goldman Sachs beats estimates across the board. John Lipsky, Former IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says data integrity is central and critical to the IMF.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Bloomberg's surveillance podcast, I'm Tom Keane, along with Jonathan |
| 0:09.9 | Farrell and Lisa Abralwitz. |
| 0:12.2 | Daily, we bring you insight from the best, an economics finance investment and international |
| 0:17.9 | relations to find Bloomberg's surveillance, an Apple podcast, SoundCloud, Bloomberg.com |
| 0:24.0 | and of course, on the Bloomberg Terminal. |
| 0:30.2 | The exceptionally important research by the gentleman from Dartmouth, David Blanchflower |
| 0:34.0 | joins us now as public service to his United Kingdom, to his whales, frankly, to his |
| 0:39.0 | Carter football team as well, and we're thrilled that Danny Blanchflower could join us this |
| 0:43.6 | morning. |
| 0:44.6 | Danny, I'm going to dig, you're good to see, I'm going to digress here, I know John |
| 0:47.1 | wants to drive in, dive into this research. |
| 0:50.0 | We are seeing Big Tech now show that David Card and Ellen Krueger got it right. |
| 0:55.8 | They nailed it on the minimum wage. |
| 0:59.1 | Now we have Big Tech bidding up labor to 17, $18 an hour across America. |
| 1:06.6 | What is the effect of Big Tech on the minimum wage? |
| 1:10.2 | Well, I always, living in Hanover, New Hampshire, Tom, my kids used to go and work at the local |
| 1:17.8 | cinema and they'd work at 10 bucks an hour and obviously North of the North and part |
| 1:23.2 | of the United States, the minimum wage didn't find, but what we're seeing here is a labor |
| 1:27.7 | market adjusting to a shock and basically firms having to pay the going price. |
| 1:34.2 | The question, which you guys are all thinking about, is does that continue in the future? |
| 1:39.2 | Just because there's a once-off rise in wages, does it necessarily mean something going |
| 1:43.7 | forward? |
... |
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