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Bloomberg Surveillance

Surveillance: Policy Mistakes with Chiavarone (Podcast)

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

Business News, News, Investing, Business

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 29 June 2022

⏱️ 23 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, says the Fed has a lot of work to do to get inflation down. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says corporate bond issuance is waiting for yields to fall. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says it will be hard for the Fed to switch back to cutting mode after they're done hiking. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, says it's possible Hillary Clinton may run for president again. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Bloomberg's surveillance podcast. I'm Tom Keane, along with Jonathan

0:09.9

Ferrell and Lisa Abramowitz. Daily, we bring you insight from the best and economics

0:15.7

finance investment and international relations to find Bloomberg's surveillance, an Apple

0:21.1

podcast suncloud, Bloomberg.com and of course, on the Bloomberg terminal.

0:29.1

Steve Scherron was taking notes, had a multi-assist solutions federated our mess right

0:33.4

now. Steve, what do you get changed here? I mean, the dynamics now, the nudging is we

0:37.3

have this panel today, but really the economic data tomorrow. How has federated tweaked

0:43.0

the 6040 allocation significantly? You know, we've been sellers really since last September

0:52.3

and we took the opportunity with last week's rally, you know, growth had popped about 10%

0:58.1

we reduced, we reduced. So we're at 1% overweight equities, which is, you know, 61% equities

1:04.2

right now, which is the lowest overweight time that we've had really since 2008, 2009.

1:09.3

As you know, along with Steve Off and Fuller Lambda, we've been one of the most bullish

1:12.9

shops on the street, really, for the last decade plus, but we're as low in our allocation

1:20.0

equities as we've been and we mirror that on the fixed income side. We are underway almost

1:25.5

every major category of credit. In fact, not almost every major category of credit.

1:29.6

And that's really only the third time in the last 15 years. Help our radio and TV audiences

1:34.2

that are saying, okay, underweight, translate that. Does that mean go to cash?

1:40.7

It does. To a certain extent. So we've been, you know, our neutral allocation to cash

1:46.4

and that 64 is roughly 3%. You know, we're sitting at 8, which is, you know, darn your

1:51.4

three times our normal cash weight. So almost a triple levered cash fund, if you will.

1:56.2

I don't know. I love it. But I think, you know, there's going to be a time to buy longer

2:01.0

dated treasuries as the recession, which we think is more and more likely comes in the

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