Surveillance: Peter Tchir's Favorite Hedge
Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg
3.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 16 October 2023
⏱️ 40 minutes
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Summary
Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says his favorite hedge at the moment is calls on the treasury market. Steven Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says there's evidence of capitulation in the markets. Julie Norman, UCL Centre on US Politics Co-Director, says the Israel-Hamas war will define what direction the region goes next. Erika Najarian, UBS Large-Cap Banks & Consumer Finance Equity Research Analyst, discusses bank earnings. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains how he factors geopolitical risk into his outlook as he attempts to anticipate markets.
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| 0:00.0 | Is inflation finally on the retreat? Can labor markets withstand an economic slowdown and demographic |
| 0:05.9 | headwinds? Will the tense geopolitical climate ease or escalate? This is the Outthinking |
| 0:11.4 | Investor. Join us as we re-examine the past, present-day opportunities and future possibilities |
| 0:18.3 | in global capital markets. The Outthinking Investor, an award-winning |
| 0:23.2 | podcast from PGIM. This podcast is intended solely for professional |
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| 0:31.4 | story behind the story. The story behind the global birth rate. Behind your EV |
| 0:35.8 | batteries, environmental impact. Behind sand. Yeah, sand. You get context. And context |
| 0:41.8 | changes everything. Go to Bloomberg.com to get context. |
| 0:50.2 | This is the Bloomberg surveillance podcast. I'm Tom Keane, along with Jonathan Farrow and Lisa |
| 0:55.4 | Abramowitz. Join us each day for insight from the best. And economics, geopolitics, |
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| 1:07.1 | and anywhere you get your podcasts and always. I'm Bloomberg.com, the Bloomberg terminal, |
| 1:13.3 | and the Bloomberg business app. A hugely popular guest. And I don't mean popular in terms of |
| 1:19.0 | funding games. I mean, insight in intellect, Peter cheers, joins now out of macro strategy |
| 1:24.2 | at Academy Securities. Peter, you were on fire last time. It was just really brilliant about |
| 1:31.0 | the dovetail of all these narratives. How was your narrative changed, say in 10 days? |
| 1:38.2 | Well, we're all having to process what's going on with Israel, Hamas, and the Middle East. So |
| 1:42.3 | that's probably been the biggest change. It's been clearly a very sensitive issue. |
| 1:47.0 | We think it's playing out right now, kind of as it should. That Israel will eventually |
| 1:52.6 | secure their borders. They will make sure that it is safe for their citizens. But they'll do it |
| 1:57.0 | in such a way that it doesn't escalate this conflict beyond relatively small borders. |
... |
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