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Bloomberg Surveillance

Surveillance: Focus On Fed's Forward Guidance, Stanley Says

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

News, Business, Business News, Investing

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 31 July 2019

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, doesn't think the Fed is paying a lot of attention to growth. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, says Washington and Shanghai are not getting to "core issues." Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says we could get a post-ECB-type reaction if the market doesn’t get an explicit commitment to more cuts. And Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent, joins us from the Democratic debates in Detroit with a preview for tonight. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

On December 4th and 5th, against the backdrop of the United Nations Climate Change Conference,

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battle against climate change. Register at Bloomberg Live. I'm Tom Keene.

0:43.5

Daily, we bring you insight from the best

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and international relations.

0:49.8

Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, Bloomberg.com, and of course, on the

0:56.4

Bloomberg.

0:57.4

Piede to say that joining us on the phone is Stephen Stanley Amherst Pierpont, Chief

1:01.6

Economist Stephen good morning to you. Great to have you with us on the program.

1:05.0

Good morning. Big question for a lot of our audience, whether this is an insurance rate cut that is about to come down from Chairman Powell or the beginning of a rate-cutting cycle.

1:14.6

Stephen, what are your talent clients right now?

1:16.6

Well, I mean, obviously that depends on how the economy progresses, but I would say, you know, in my view,

1:21.8

it's more of an insurance cut I think the economy

1:23.9

has proven to be in considerably better shape today than that we thought at

1:29.6

the previous meeting in June when the Fed essentially decided that they were going to need to invoke a cut in July.

1:37.5

So, you know, I think it's premature to talk about whether there's going to be you know maybe one or two more

1:44.3

but I certainly don't envision this being a long series of cuts as you would expect if the

1:49.0

economy were falling into recession say.

...

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