Surveillance: China Growth May Be Flat, Kasman Says
Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg
3.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 13 February 2020
⏱️ 32 minutes
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Summary
Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist & Head of Global Research, says Chinese growth may be flat in the first quarter of 2020. Dr. Jennifer Rohn, University College London Micro Biologist, says the coronavirus is looking just as contagious as flu and just as lethal. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says we still have a global market recovery that is being delayed rather than derailed. Tavis McCourt, Raymond James Institutional Equity Strategist, says the coronavirus has upset market expectations in a way that is similar to the U.S.-China trade war.
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| 0:00.0 | Join us in New York on November 29th for the Bloomberg Canadian Finance Conference, |
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| 0:43.5 | Daily, we bring you insight from the best |
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| 0:49.9 | Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts SoundCloud, Bloomberg.com and of course |
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| 0:57.1 | Let's bring in the guest of the morning shall we Bruce Kastman, J. B. |
| 0:59.6 | Morgan Chief Economist. Good morning to Bruce. for the markets investors have been focusing |
| 1:04.6 | on the likely stimulus response coming out of China, it's just easy to get your |
| 1:08.1 | hands around. The possible fallout from the containment effort much harder the |
| 1:11.9 | process. |
| 1:12.6 | What's your base case in the moment? |
| 1:14.5 | Well, the base case here is that we have a huge disruption |
| 1:17.6 | that's very narrowly based in China and a few other countries |
| 1:20.9 | in the month of February and in the first quarter. |
| 1:22.8 | We have Chinese growth getting down to one. |
| 1:25.0 | It could even be flat on the quarter sequentially. |
... |
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