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Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Stu Responds to the WSJ’s Hit Piece

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.95.6K Ratings

🗓️ 4 May 2026

⏱️ 43 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today’s Predictable with Stu, does everyone really lose in prediction markets? Stu breaks down the Wall Street Journal piece claiming only a few sharks win while everyone else loses, and explains why their poster child example wasn’t exactly the best case choice.  Stu also reacts to the Senate quietly banning lawmakers from participating in prediction markets. Plus, we check in on a live entertainment market around Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu and its Rotten Tomatoes score expectations, and revisit the always-reliable benchmark for “beating the system”… Nancy Pelosi’s stock picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Predictable with Stu, a show that attempts to make the world a little bit more predictable.

0:19.5

We're here in the new set,

0:28.2

and we are here, and it's pretty cool. We're pretty excited about being on the new set for the first time, still dealing with a bunch of the graphics coming in and all the stuff. We're still

0:32.2

sort of in half-launch mode here, soft launch mode, if you will. So thank you so much for joining us

0:36.9

as we go through this, and there's so much to talk about if you happen to be here and a fan of a Stu, or excuse me, Stu Does America, the old show that used to be on this channel, I encourage you to, of course, stay and enjoy what we're going to be doing here. It has to do with prediction markets and how to understand the news and the world as it relates to prediction markets.

0:54.8

But if you're also looking for a little bit more on the funny news side as well, we have

1:00.5

Stu and Dave Do America.

1:02.0

It's a new show, kind of an expansion of Stu Does America.

1:04.1

And it's available if you search YouTube or on Blaze TV, Stu and Dave Do America.

1:09.1

So make sure to go check that out. Let me talk to you a little

1:13.1

bit about the world we're looking at right now, because the prediction market world is one

1:20.0

that you might be new to. You might not necessarily have a vibe on right now. There's a lot of

1:25.6

kind of, honestly, BS being circulated about prediction

1:29.6

markets, stuff that doesn't really make any sense. We'll go through some of that today.

1:34.8

Some where you would think they would have a better understanding of it and maybe a closer

1:42.0

connection to the truth.

1:48.4

And I find that at times, that's a real weak point in the media right now.

1:51.2

And I think we should make sure we understand that.

1:54.4

We're also going to give you some different markets to look forward to.

1:56.4

There's some interesting stuff in sports and culture. We'll get into a little bit later.

1:57.7

But I do want to start with this Wall Street Journal headline,

2:02.0

why almost everyone loses except a few sharks on prediction markets. There you go. That's

...

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