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Bloomberg Surveillance

Stimulus Priced In, Says Mahajan

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

News, Business, Business News, Investing

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 21 October 2020

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says there will not be much more movement from market levels until eyes of inflation are seen. Kevin Giddis, Raymond James Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says interest rates are likely to move higher across the board with a blue wave. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, says mail-in ballots make for a more for a engaged public and higher voter turnout for this and later elections. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Whole Foods Market Co-Founder and CEO John Mackey.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

With Bloomberg you get the story behind the story, the story behind the global birth rate,

0:04.7

behind your EV batteries environmental impact, behind sand. Yeah, sand, you get context.

0:10.8

And context changes everything. Go to Bloomberg.com to get context. Welcome to the Bloomberg surveillance podcast. I'm Tom Keene.

0:28.0

Daily, we bring you insight from the best in economics finance investment and international relations find

0:35.4

Bloomberg surveillance on Apple Podcasts soundcloud bloom And of course, on the Bloomberg. John, nominal yield versus a rising five-year, five-year break even

0:48.5

gives you a substantial real yield at negative 0.92 percent Even with that lift in nominal yields, we've still got a substantial

0:56.7

negative real yield. Let's continue the conversation with Mona Mahajan, Alian's global investors,

1:02.1

US investment strategists. She joins us now. with Mona if you'd

1:05.0

if you'd disappeared from the market for the last 10 years and heard us talk about a

1:08.2

breakout in Treasury yields of 80 basis points.

1:11.1

I think you'd wonder what planet you've just landed on.

1:14.0

Man or any basis points, when can we get a real move on treasuries?

1:18.0

You know, interestingly from a percentage perspective, this was a pretty real move you know we're we're now off the

1:23.8

lows of 46 basis points from this crisis back up to 80 what we're seeing in the

1:29.2

markets is pretty consistent here we talked about weaker dollar, higher treasury yields, higher

1:34.4

gold prices. This is a market that's thinking at some point stimulus is going to happen and

1:39.5

also perhaps starting to price in over the last few weeks this Democratic sweep idea.

1:45.8

Where in that scenario you do also get more stimulus but also more spending.

1:50.7

So it does feel like we're on a trajectory. To Lisa's point

1:53.9

earlier, how high can it go? We may not get much more movement from these

1:58.2

levels until we see actual, as a Fed says, eyes of inflation.

2:02.3

Mona, part of this is the glide path. as a Fed says eyes of inflation.

...

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