Stanford launches AI economy indicator to match AI's pace
Marketplace All-in-One
Marketplace
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 25 June 2026
⏱️ 8 minutes
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Summary
We here at Marketplace love indicators that give us insights into which direction the economy is moving. But AI is evolving fast and it can be hard for the data — and the people looking to it for clues about AI's effects — to keep up. So the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, with help from the payroll firm ADP, recently launched its own AI Economic Indicators. They track things like AI adoption, productivity, and of course, jobs. Marketplace’s Meghan McCarty Carino spoke with Connacher Murphy, research manager at Stanford Digital Economy Lab, to learn more about the database and what researchers call the Canary Dashboard for jobs.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | We need economic data at the speed of AI. |
| 0:05.0 | From American Public Media, this is Marketplace Tech. |
| 0:08.0 | I'm Megan McCarty Carrino. |
| 0:10.0 | We here at Marketplace love indicators that give us insights into which direction the economy is moving. |
| 0:26.8 | But AI is evolving fast, and it can be hard for the data and the people looking to it for clues about AI's effects to keep up. |
| 0:35.4 | So the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, with help from the payroll firm |
| 0:39.6 | ADP, recently launched its own AI economic indicators. They track things like AI adoption, productivity, |
| 0:47.3 | and of course, jobs. We spoke with Conahir Murphy, research manager at Stanford Digital |
| 0:53.6 | Economy Lab, about what they call |
| 0:55.7 | the Canary Dashboard for Jobs. Each month, we have a large sample of workers covering over 700 |
| 1:03.4 | occupations, and we're able to compare employment trends for occupations that are very |
| 1:09.9 | exposed to AI versus least exposed to |
| 1:12.5 | AI. |
| 1:13.4 | We first start by looking at sort of canonical occupations that we think might be representative |
| 1:18.7 | of these different exposure groups. |
| 1:21.7 | So let's take customer service workers, for example, since the launch of ChatGPT in late |
| 1:27.2 | 2022, customer service employment |
| 1:30.0 | among early career workers, so this is workers age 22 to 25, has been shrinking at 5% per year. |
| 1:37.1 | And then when we look at software developers, that decline is jumping to over 6%. On the other |
| 1:43.1 | side, we have occupations that are much less exposed. |
| 1:46.0 | We can look at home health aids, and their early career employment has actually been growing |
| 1:50.3 | at a pretty striking 6% per year. Ultimately, what we find is sort of these representative |
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