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Serious Inquiries Only

SIO276: Is the Dunning-Kruger Effect Real?

Serious Inquiries Only

Thomas Smith

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.61.1K Ratings

🗓️ 28 January 2021

⏱️ 57 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A recent article by Jonathan Jarry made a few waves on the internet recently, as it claims that the Dunning-Kruger effect might not actually be real! Official SIO Science-splainer Lindsey Osterman is on with a full breakdown! Is the effect real or is it just statistical noise? Tune in and find out!

Links: (Original paper) Kruger & Dunning (1999), (Review chapter) Dunning (2011), (Response to early statistical critiques) Kruger & Dunning (2002), (First Nuhfer paper): Nuhfer et al (2016), (Second Nuhfer paper): Nuhfer et al (2017)

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to? Serious inquiries only.

0:08.0

Hello and welcome to Serious Inquiries Only. This is episode 276. I'm Thomas and I'm joined today by Lindsay. How are you doing Lindsay?

0:37.0

Pretty good. Really good. Like as good as I'm not doing.

0:44.0

It sounds like it. You've had some rough times.

0:47.0

Stop the show. Gotta talk about the tornado hurricane thing that came through.

0:53.0

Unbelievable climate change event. California, the whole state, blue. Just one state.

1:01.0

Every object in the universe that was to the southeast of me is now to the northwest of me.

1:07.0

So if anyone's missing anything, keys, you know, any. If you can't find something, the wind blew it all the way to California.

1:14.0

It was unbelievable. Gail Force hurricane winds. Our fence got knocked over. Trees, power.

1:21.0

Quarter million people without power. And I'm hoping I get, I hope this recording goes okay. It's not a sure thing.

1:28.0

Power has been in and out. But so that's me. And then we think we're all, it's all resolved. We're good.

1:34.0

We recovered this morning, you know, and when you know it Phoebe has a fever, which means we can't both kids can't go to daycare for, I don't know, a calendar year or something until.

1:44.0

That sounds great. Yeah. Yeah. So that's my day. Anyway, I'm really excited to have you on though.

1:49.0

Because this is going to cheer me up. This is going to be a really cool episode because there was an article by Jonathan Jerry.

1:57.0

And he wrote about the fact that the Dunning Kruger effect might not be real.

2:03.0

And made, made some waves on the Twitter's on the interwebs. Super curious about this. So Lindsey was kind enough to check this out.

2:11.0

Apply her spider dick knowledge. Yeah.

2:16.0

Sorry. Yes. Spider dick knowledge really did play a large role in my ability to.

2:21.0

Yeah, just quick plug to the Twitch stream where we have been streaming here and there and talking about all kinds of cool reproductive facts about other species.

2:30.0

It's been a lot of fun. Be thankful that you're not a spider everybody. Be thankful that you're not a spider.

2:36.0

Well, specifically a male spider. I guess the women have it pretty good. Yeah, they seem, they seem to be doing okay.

2:42.0

They get a lot of snacks. Yeah. Feel a little bit peckish. They remedy that problem.

...

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