Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Win Thin & Constance Hunter
Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg
3.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 28 January 2026
⏱️ 5 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.
In this episode, we feature conversations with Bank of Nassau's Win Thin & Constance Hunter of EIU.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Markets move fast. |
| 0:01.7 | Get the insights you need in 10 minutes with Barclays Brief, |
| 0:04.8 | a podcast from Barclays Investment Bank. |
| 0:07.1 | Each week, our experts analyze market themes, |
| 0:09.7 | helping you anticipate what's next. |
| 0:11.6 | Listen to Barclay's Brief wherever you get your podcasts. |
| 0:17.4 | Bloomberg Audio Studios. |
| 0:19.8 | Podcasts, Radio News. |
| 0:27.6 | A single best idea is to learn the Bloomberg Terminal. |
| 0:32.4 | With the dollar dynamics of the last 24 hours, I was visualizing in my head way too early in the morning. |
| 0:41.1 | A chart of gold back umpteen years. I want to walk through it. I think it's so important. |
| 0:46.5 | The pros talk about standard deviation. The single best idea is to try to understand |
| 0:51.2 | central limit theorem and the idea of percent change and how you gauge |
| 0:55.6 | that looking at the past data and one way we do this to keep it short is standard deviation one |
| 1:02.9 | standard deviation is no big deal two standard deviations is within the realm of okay it's going to |
| 1:08.3 | happen and three standard deviations is a general statement indicates stress. |
| 1:14.0 | If you take gold on a logarithmic y-axis back 20 years, 24 years, I think I did, |
| 1:22.6 | and you plot it out, we are at two standard deviations right now with gold at 5300 where is three |
| 1:30.5 | standard deviations 7,400 is a quick estimate not to the dollar but in the |
| 1:38.1 | vicinity of 7,400 is where I would suggest the recent two decades of gold indicates a stress. |
| 1:47.8 | We talked about the stress today with Wynn Thin. |
| 1:50.3 | He's at the bank of NASA. |
... |
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