SI268: Are Investors Wrongly Positioned for the New World Order? ft. Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 4 November 2023

⏱️ 65 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Cem Karsan returns to help us uncover the art of tail hedging and whether he views the January 2024 OpEx as a possible inflection point and start of a new bear market. We discuss the latest events in the macro space, especially regarding the conflict in the Middle East, and how it impacts markets, why Niels believes we are probably heading towards a world where investors are completely wrongly positioned and why it is important to think differently when it comes to asset allocation. Lastly, Cem explains how the incoming holiday season acts as a volatility compression mechanism, what he took away from the recent CBOE RMC Conference and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:08 - What has been on Cem's radar recently?

03:15 - Industry performance update

05:25 - Q1, Tim: What systematic strategies would Cem suggest for hedging risk from a risk premia strategy with a trend following bias?

12:20 - Q2, Rick: Does Cem view the Jan 2024 OpEx as a possible inflection point (to the downside)?

15:52 - What is new in the macro space?

23:16 - Is the MOVE index behaving as it should?

27:43 - Is Japan a joker when it comes to interest rates?

32:17 - Hidden dangers?

36:12 - Wars - a driver of spending, deficits and inflation

40:28 - What current Flows are telling us

45:48 - Cem's takeaways from the CBOE RMC Conference

01:02:33 - Thanks for listening

Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing
0:07.2	and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.2	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:26.5	Welcome, well, welcome back to this week's edition of the systematic investor series with Jim Kazan and I, Neil's Castro Blasen, where each week we take the pulse of the global market
0:31.3	through the lens of a rural space investor.
0:33.9	Jim, it is wonderful to be back with you this week.
0:36.7	It feels like it's been quite a while since we last spoke.
0:40.2	How are you doing?
0:41.5	Doing well.
0:42.1	It's been a busy summer and into fall for me.
0:45.0	So have in particular the last month been kind of all over the world,
0:49.6	meeting clients and potential clients and speaking at conferences.
0:59.0	So it's been fun, but I'm excited to be back in Chicago and settling down, spending time with family and with work, you know, getting into more of a routine.
1:03.2	I know exactly how that feels, been on the road myself, and it's actually really nice
1:07.1	to be back home.
1:08.9	Anyways, before, I mean, we've got a pretty good lineup of topics, thanks to you.
1:14.6	And before we tackle those, we also have a couple of questions.
1:18.0	But before we even get to that, you know, one of my favorite questions that's always to pick
1:22.2	your brain about.
1:23.1	Just a few couple of minutes, big picture, that's sort of what's been on your radar.
1:28.5	Nothing linked to necessarily the topics we're going to talk about.
1:31.7	Just something that you picked up on your travels, maybe that you find interesting.
	...

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