SI228: Are Markets Priced for Perfection? ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 28 January 2023

⏱️ 61 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Alan Dunne joins us for the weekly conversation on Trend Following, where we reflect on the current macro environment and how it impact markets. We discuss how the apparent positivity in the markets might get derailed by the lack of cooperation from policy makers and how a lurking uncertainty is threatening the calmness of the markets, the performance of the CTA industry, which markets are the best to trade and how the speed of your trend system affects the outcome, how CTAs capitalize on people’s behavioural biases and what the conversations in the new TTU mini series have taught us so far. We also discuss the advantages of being a multi manager and whether managers should give the investors multiple choices or do the choosing themselves and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:16 - The current macro picture

15:56 - Trend following update

18:04 - Current markets and asset allocation

28:07 - Papers on the CTA industry

38:15 - Fast vs. slow trend systems

42:32 - Reflecting on the TTU CTA mini series

49:12 - The multi-manager perspective

56:42 - Feedback on the TTU CTA Mini series

59:07 - Thanks for listening

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Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing
0:07.0	and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.0	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:26.4	Welcome, welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Alan Don and I, Neil's Castor Blasen,
0:28.5	where each week we take the pulse of the global market
0:30.5	through the lens of a rules-based investor.
0:33.2	Now, if you're new to the show,
0:34.7	I hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity enough to check out the back catalog.
0:39.2	And listen to some of the past episodes that you may have missed, like last week's episode with Rich, where he discussed a topic of uncertainty and the role it plays within the trend following world.
0:50.8	Also, I would like to really encourage you to listen to the midweek episode where Kevin
0:55.4	was joined by David Rubenstein and where I think we heard a rare and quite personal side of
1:02.2	Mr. Rubenstein and what he has learned from all of his conversations that he's had with some of the
1:08.3	most successful investors in the world and, of course his long career at Kyleyle.
1:13.7	And, of course, not least, you should really listen to the extra episodes
1:19.1	that Alan and I have done with the largest CTA firms in the world
1:23.6	and where we are essentially, I think, for the first time,
1:27.4	taking the pulse of all these managers, I think, for the first time, taking the pulse of all these
1:29.0	managers, more or less at the same time, covering a wide range of topics that are relevant for
1:35.2	the firms themselves, but also for the industry as a whole. And there is much more to come
1:40.1	in this series. Speaking of Alan, Alan, it's good to have you with me today.
1:47.6	And how are things in Dublin?
1:50.4	Things are good.
	...

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