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Top Traders Unplugged

SI216: A New Era for Trend Following? ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

News, Business News, Business, Investing

4.8712 Ratings

🗓️ 29 October 2022

⏱️ 58 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, Alan Dunne joins us for a weekly dose of Trend Following where we reflect on an eventful week, with Elon Musk taking over Twitter, the META stock taking a big hit and much more. We discuss how to approach asset allocation when adding trend following to your portfolio, how to find the optimal allocation and why Trend Following is often the most consistent part of the portfolio. We also discuss why it is important to think about forward looking risks and the idea that we are moving into a new era and regime, the unpredictability of the current inflation and why the rule-based strategies will have the upper hand as well as reflecting on next week’s episode with William White and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:58 - Summary of the week

07:51 - Industry performance update

15:38 - The optimal allocation

24:42 - Trend Following is the most consistent part of the Portfolio? 

37:22 - Are we moving into a new era?

47:37 - Reflecting on the upcoming conversation with William White

52:29 - Unforeseen consequences of QE

55:40 - Thanks for listening

Resources discussed in this Episode:


Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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Transcript

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0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.0

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:26.5

Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Alan Dunn and I, Neil's Castleblaston, where each week would take the pulse of the global

0:30.1

markets through the lens of a rules-based investor.

0:33.2

If you're new to the show, I hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity enough

0:37.1

to check out the back catalog and listen to the past episodes you may have missed.

0:41.3

Like last week's episode with Gem, where we discussed some pretty big news from the volatility

0:46.1

space, as well as whether investors should go for volatility or trend following strategies,

0:52.4

if they want to protect their portfolios.

0:55.1

Also, I would like to encourage you to listen to the midweek episode where Gem and I were once

0:59.7

again joined by natural resource expert Adam Rosenzweig for a really important conversation

1:05.1

about the current energy crisis and where we focused more on the demand side of the crisis

1:09.9

this time. And we, and also actually,

1:13.3

Adam shared the news of the new oil put that the US government has implemented, so to speak.

1:19.9

Anyways, Alan, it's great to have you on the podcast this week. How are you doing how things in Dublin?

1:25.3

Are you ready for Halloween? Oh, I am indeed, yeah. I'm very well, thanks. Lots of kids running around in the locality here, dressed up.

1:35.0

So not dressed up myself now. I hasten to add, but looking forward to the weekend, a long weekend here.

1:41.3

Have you seen on Twitter there's a lot of adverts for Halloween costumes and they're

1:45.1

all like members of the FOMC committee. Have you noticed that? I hadn't seen us. Who would

1:52.0

you be dressing up as a chape howl? Oh, I'm not sure. I'm not sure. Hopefully none of them,

1:57.3

but there we are. Anyway, it's good to hear that you're doing well and we have as usual

2:03.6

some what we at least think some good topics lined up and and we'll see where we go with that as usual

...

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