SI202: Trend Following in a Binary World ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 24 July 2022

⏱️ 67 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mark Rzepczynsky joins us today for a weekly talk on Trend Following, where we discuss how we are beginning to see stagflation and recession around the world, how to manage systemic risk as a trend follower, how to construct your portfolio using Trend Following funds and why it’s preferred to let Trend Following funds replace bonds and commodities, whilst leaving equities in your portfolio. Additionally, we discuss how a global macro binary world allows for Trend Following to work and why Mark believe in “let prices speak for themselves”. We round things off discussing how the Fed uses the “Powell Call” rather than the "Greenspan Put" to determine how they should react to the markets and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:43 - Recap of the major events from this week?

09:43 - Industry performance update

12:40 - Q1, Alp: How to manage Systemic Risks

32:40 - Q2, Algernond: Portfolio construction using Trend Following funds

41:05 - A global macro binary world and its impact on trend following

53:13 - Revival of accepting price action when it comes to investment process

01:01:18 - Moving beyond the Greenspan Put

01:04:39 - Thanks for listening

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Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.0	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:27.5	Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Mark Resensinski and I, Niels Kastu Larsen, where each week we take the pulse of the global
0:33.0	market through the lens of a rules-based investor.
0:35.3	For those of you who are regular listeners, this podcast series is all about voicing our differences
0:39.6	on the one topic that brings us all together,
0:42.4	namely systematic investing,
0:44.0	using the often overlooked but very robust strategy of trend following.
0:48.5	We hope that today's episode
0:50.2	will trigger your curiosity to learn more
0:52.3	by diving into the back catalog
0:53.9	and listen to all of the past episodes that you may have missed, like last week's episode, episode will trigger your curiosity to learn more by diving into the back catalog and
0:54.3	listen to all of the past episodes that you may have missed like last week's episode with
0:58.4	Rich where we discussed some really fundamental questions like why trend following works,
1:04.7	why trends occur in markets and why it's best to exploit them using a systematic approach.
1:11.0	And we also discussed the idea of doing trend following, on trend following, using the
1:15.7	TTIU trend barometer.
1:17.8	I would also encourage you to listen to the Wednesday episode, where this week, Kevin
1:21.8	Coldiron spoke to Manoj Prattan.
1:24.5	He is the author and founder of Talking Heads Macroeconomics and where they
1:28.7	discussed the structural forces that will drive markets in the future based on his latest book,
1:34.1	The Great Demographic Reversal, Aging Societies, Waning Inequality and an Inflation Revival.
	...

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