4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 27 July 2022
⏱️ 67 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Today, we are joined by Andrew Smithers, Author, Economist and Founder of Smithers & Co, to discuss how we can achieve economic stability, based on his book, “The Economics of the Stock Market”. We address the Q Ratio and why it is important for economic stability, how to use the idea of hindsight value to predict markets and how monetary policy has contributed to economic instability, the incentives for a company’s management and how to balance the level of leverage. Lastly, we discuss reasons why policy makers should be focusing on Q, what Andrew has planned for the future and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:15 - Introduction to Andrew
03:28 - Key messages from his book
06:42 - How is the Q Ratio constructed?
14:34 - The idea of hindsight value
23:31 - How Quantitative Easing caused instability?
26:49 - How remuneration policies have led to an increased Q value
31:14 - The incentives for management
42:30 - Should policy makers focus more on...
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0:00.0 | When they do well, companies' management get very high bonuses. |
0:12.0 | They have therefore an incentive to get those metrics up. |
0:17.0 | And when you change incentives, you change behavior. And the behavior change was that management |
0:24.2 | became much more anxious to make short-term profits for themselves than they had to worry about |
0:32.6 | the long-term future of their companies. Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders. Imagine learning |
0:41.4 | from their experiences, their successes, and their failures. Imagine no more. Welcome to Top |
0:48.0 | Traders Unplugged, the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world, |
0:53.1 | so you can take your manager, |
0:54.6 | due diligence, or investment career to the next level. Before we begin today's conversation, |
0:59.8 | remember to keep two things in mind. All the discussion we'll have about investment performance |
1:04.1 | is about the past, and past performance does not guarantee or even infer anything about future |
1:09.5 | performance. Also understand that there's a significant risk of financial loss with all investment strategies, |
1:15.2 | and you need to request and understand the specific risks from the investment manager about their product |
1:20.2 | before you make investment decisions. |
1:22.6 | Here's your host, veteran hedge fund manager, Nealz Kostrup Larson. |
1:32.4 | Thank you. veteran hedge fund manager, Niels Kostrup Larson. For me, the best part of my podcasting journey has been the opportunity to speak to a huge range |
1:38.0 | of extraordinary people from all around the world. In this series, I have invited one of them, |
1:43.4 | namely Kevin Koldine to host a series |
1:45.3 | of in-depth conversations to help uncover and explain new ideas to make you a better investor. |
1:52.0 | In the series, Kevin will be speaking to authors of new books and research papers to better understand |
1:57.3 | the global economy and the dynamics that shape it so that we can all successfully |
2:01.7 | navigate the challenges within it. |
... |
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