Coffee House Shots is sponsored by EDF, Britain's biggest generator of zero carbon electricity.

Find out how we are busy helping Britain achieve net zero at www.edufenergy.com. Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the Spectator's Daily Politics Podcast.

I'm Katie Balls and I'm joined by Fraser Nelson and James Forsyfe.

And it seemed as though Boris Johnson was getting away with it.

He had come up with a plan to kick off the new term by breaking not one but two manifesto pledges.

And despite lots of angry

briefings, his party has broadly supported it and the vote passed comfortably. Yet, we now have

a U-Gov poll. And James, it paints less rosy picture, doesn't it? Yeah, it is the first one with

Labour ahead for a long time, I think 149 polls have had the Tories in the lead. And I think this

will change the political mood. You know, it is one poll and we should caution that. But I think

the point is that Tory MPs reluctantly accept this policy. They don't actively like it.

And so if it turns out to be politically unpopular,

then I think they will be more again it than they were before. And I think it will add to Tory

worries about, you know, what have we done to our reputation between the party of low taxes?

Now, obviously the question is whether this is

sustained or not. And I think the kind of consolation for the Tories is that this poll only has

labour up to 35%. It's not, these are people are not switching straight from, in any large

number straight from the Tories to Labour. They are going all over the place. You know, reform goes

up a bit, but if Dems go up a bit,

and so, I think the question is, you know, what happens? But I think that one of Boris Johnson's

weaknesses has always been that his relationship with his party is very transactional. It is based

on him being a winner. And if that perception begins to ebb, that will

...