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Good Tuesday morning. I'm Jake Sherman and welcome to your political playbook audio briefing.

And I'm Anna Palmer.

Tonight at 9 p.m. Joe Biden and President Donald Trump will take the state in Cleveland for the first presidential debate.

A 90-minute commercial-free affair moderated by Fox News's Chris Wallace, 35 days before Election Day.

We have a few fresh data points to keep in mind as you start to think about tonight.

These are from our new Politico Morning Console poll.

86% of voters say their minds are made up about who they will vote for.

Just 14% say they are

persuadable. 44% say they expect Joe Biden to perform better tonight, and 41% said they

expect Donald Trump to perform better. 15% don't know.

41% of those polls say it's very accurate to say Trump's handling of the coronavirus pandemic resulted in thousands of preventable deaths in the United States.

Another 13% say it's somewhat accurate.

40% say it's very or somewhat accurate to say Biden wants to raise taxes on middle class Americans.

Wallace has a 33% favorable rating and 15% unfavorable.

52% have never heard of him or have no opinion.

Wallace is the best known debate moderator. Fifty-eight percent have never heard of Steve Scully

and 59% have never heard of Kristen Welker. Although we have heard of all of them.

Here's the debate. Lookaround. Ryan Liz is reporting that Donald Trump is a better debater than

you remember. The New York Times notes that

Trump has been deflecting questions about taxes, but the first debate has a new issue. And the AP

has an analysis piece up on how this is the last chance for Trump to define Biden. We've got a new

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