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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

September 23rd - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 23 September 2021

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for September 23rd, 2021. 

 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everyone. The Simple Handicap for Thursday, September 23rd. Thank you for making me a part of your morning.

0:08.8

And NFL week number three is officially upon us tonight with the Carolina Panthers kicking things off on the road, taking on the Houston Texans with Davis Mills under center.

0:19.5

This number has ballooned all the way up to minus eight.

0:22.7

And the total did come back a little bit. It was as low as 42 up to 43 this morning.

0:28.0

Panthers made their way into my first teaser of the season going alongside the Baltimore.

0:33.4

Ravens took both of those teams down through two. and I'm sitting on one and a half with each

0:39.2

of them.

0:39.7

So if you're able to find that teaser, tease both of those down, and you have a book that

0:44.3

pays on ties, or at least reduces or avoids the wager and rules at no action, you can do

0:50.8

that, taking both of those teams down to two, a really nice teaser to get things going on week number three. There's four bets in total that I've made. Those are each up in the bet thread. And then number of the games beyond the Carolina Panthers taking place on Sunday, where we get started with one of them. The Arizona Cardinals on the road at the Jacksonville Jaguars. This was up to seven and a half. Circa is still there this

1:11.8

morning, seven and a half minus 05, the rest of the books on the board, down to seven. So this was

1:18.6

at seven and a half everywhere. And there was interest in the Jags at seven and a half. So there's a

1:23.8

clear by point on the cards at six, clear by point back on the Jags at 7.5.

1:30.0

I was in at 7 minus 05.

1:32.5

We might see that again.

1:34.9

But this was the game for all week.

1:36.8

I've been saying it just doesn't feel like this was ever going to break through.

1:40.5

And if you're just feeling the way that this market is ultimately going, we might see people just look to avoid all of the money coming in on Arizona and go the other way with Jacksonville late in the week.

1:51.9

And this may ultimately bring it down to a flat seven.

1:55.4

If it gets below that, I mean, it would take a significant move.

1:58.6

I'm not ruling it out.

1:59.5

But I would think at that point there's going to be money back the other way.

...

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