S8 Ep957: (3) Jonathan Sayeh reports that the U.S. blockade has caused a sharp decline in Iranian oil exports, though it has not yet reached a level of total economic catastrophe. The Iranian regime is demanding the total elimination of all sanctions and access to
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 2 June 2026
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Summary
(3) Jonathan Sayeh reports that the U.S. blockade has caused a sharp decline in Iranian oil exports, though it has not yet reached a level of total economic catastrophe. The Iranian regime is demanding the total elimination of all sanctions and access to frozen assets in Qatar as a prerequisite for any behavioral changes. Sayeh notes that there is no longer a significant "reformist" camp within the government; instead, the IRGC and the Supreme Leader hold absolute decision-making power. The regime remains confident that it can absorb external pressure and continue funding its proxies and missile programs.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I'm John Bachelor, Bill Rajo, my colleague and co-host, and we're very pleased to welcome after several |
| 0:22.6 | weeks of not having a happy conversation with Jonathan Saya, a research fellow at the Foundation |
| 0:28.7 | for Defense of Democracies. He is our reporter on Iran, not only the Iranian aggression in the region |
| 0:37.0 | and against the United States and against the world |
| 0:40.5 | by threatening the Strait of Hormuz consistently so much that the world's economy now is frozen, |
| 0:46.8 | asking which way do we go? But also for the people of Tehran, I mentioned in the first weeks of the conflict, |
| 0:53.9 | the bombing. One of the |
| 0:55.8 | anecdotes that I enjoyed most asking Jonathan about was after the bombing ended, people in Tehran |
| 1:01.9 | felt that they wasn't aimed at them because they were opponents of the regime. But there was a rush |
| 1:07.4 | for sweet cookies or sweet cakes all over Tehran. |
| 1:12.9 | That was the way human beings reacted to hearing the bombs blast and knowing there was a |
| 1:19.1 | conflict around them that wasn't necessarily threatening, but it was their country. |
| 1:23.5 | You eat sweets. |
| 1:24.9 | So we begin now with the headlines from Europe and ask Jonathan what it means. |
| 1:30.3 | This is a report that includes a report from Tehran, a report from Beirut, and a report from London, and a report from Washington. |
| 1:40.8 | All those are combined in this report. |
| 1:43.3 | U.S. and Iran launched fresh strikes, |
| 1:45.8 | writes F.T. As peace efforts continue, Washington and Tehran are still trying to formalize a ceasefire. |
| 1:52.3 | We're told very little, but we are told that Iran has attacked a U.S. military base in Kuwait |
| 1:57.7 | in response to American strikes against military targets in southern Iran. |
| 2:02.6 | Jonathan, welcome back. This does not sound like a ceasefire, nor does it sound like a search for |
| 2:08.2 | a truth nor peace. It feels like both sides are picking their targets and asking the other |
... |
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