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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep776: Iran's Agile Diplomacy and the Five Files: Iran is "moving the goalposts" by linking the Lebanon ceasefire to maritime negotiations. Success requires progress on five files: the Strait, nuclear program, ballistic missiles, proxies, and human rights. Some

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

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4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 21 April 2026

⏱️ 6 minutes

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Summary

Iran's Agile Diplomacy and the Five Files: Iran is "moving the goalposts" by linking the Lebanon ceasefire to maritime negotiations. Success requires progress on five files: the Strait, nuclear program, ballistic missiles, proxies, and human rights. Some Gulf autocracies may prefer a weakened Iran over a successful democratic regime change that could threaten their own prestige. Edmund Fitton Brown (16)

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Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Batchel with my good colleagues Bill Rajo, Senior fellow of the FD, and Edmund Fitton Brown,

0:22.0

former UK ambassador to Yemen, former UN official to the whole of the region, moving the goalpost as an American metaphor,

0:29.3

meaning the deal keeps changing and we can't satisfy anyone here.

0:34.5

I note, Edmund, that suddenly Tehran said part of the negotiation was the IDF had to

0:42.6

stop attacking Hezbollah. There are other surrogates in the region that could be mentioned,

0:48.3

Khatib Hezbollah in Iraq, certainly Hamas in Gaza, certainly the gangs of the West Bank, there are lots of players that Iran

0:59.2

could bring into this conversation. They have a lot of skills here and a lot of things to talk

1:04.7

about. Are they moving the goalposts? Is that part of their thinking? Well, they're certainly

1:10.4

agile, John. And of course, you Well, they're certainly agile, John.

1:11.3

And, of course, that does, you know, again, let's not exaggerate the extent to which

1:15.1

that's a strength.

1:16.6

It also reflects, you know, how limited their options are.

1:20.5

So, of course, they have to be agile and opportunistic.

1:23.7

And they are both of those things.

1:25.8

They want the proxies to help them. They don't absolutely

1:32.0

command them, although you can see in the case of the Iraqi militias that it does sometimes

1:38.0

feel as if they really are just divisions of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. And of course, they have been very active in this

1:46.7

conflict. They have been attacking the U.S. as best they can. They've also been active in

1:52.5

suppressing domestic unrest because the Iranians don't hesitate to use these proxies also for

1:58.4

domestic enforcement inside Iran.

2:01.8

The big ones are the Houthis and Lebediz, Hiz, Hiz, Hizbullah.

2:06.7

In the case of the Houthis, they haven't really entered the fray this time,

...

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