S8 Ep351: SEGMENT 16: 2025 BOOSTER LAUNCHES AND 2026 PROSPECTS Guest: Doug Messier Messier previews the ambitious global launch schedule for 2025 and beyond, with multiple nations expanding space capabilities. Discussion covers SpaceX dominance, emerging competito
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 22 January 2026
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I'm John Batch, the Hotel Mars, with my colleague and co-host and co-pilot David Livingston. |
| 0:21.8 | He keeps the space show, and we turn to where we've been, 2025 launch, and where we're going, |
| 0:28.3 | 2026 launch. And to summarize and explain, we welcome Douglas Messier, who keeps the highly |
| 0:36.0 | recommended substack page, Douglas Messier. And right now I'm looking, first |
| 0:41.1 | of all, how we did in 25. Doug, a very good evening to you. 25 was a banner year. How big? Good |
| 0:47.1 | evening to you. Yeah, good evening. It was a big year for launches. There were 325 orbital launch attempts worldwide. |
| 0:57.1 | That broke down to a launch every 27 hours. |
| 1:01.8 | And the U.S. had 193 of those launches. |
| 1:05.6 | China had 93. |
| 1:08.1 | And they accounted for 88% of all launches last year. |
| 1:14.4 | And there were two companies in these countries that accounted for 72% of all global launches. |
| 1:20.4 | That was SpaceX, which launched 165 times to orbit and five times with suborbital starship launches. |
| 1:31.8 | And the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, which is Cask, and they launched |
| 1:40.1 | 68 times. So that's the two companies accounted for 72% of all launches last year. |
| 1:51.5 | David, you have a question about where we've been. |
| 1:54.8 | Yeah, I'm curious to know what the primary market is for all these launches. |
| 2:01.1 | Are they, I know you're counting launches for government, or are these mostly primarily |
| 2:06.1 | government missions? |
| 2:07.9 | It's a mix of things. |
| 2:10.1 | Globally, there were 159 launches out of the 325. |
| 2:14.6 | That's almost 49 percent. |
| 2:23.7 | We're for six commercial and government large constellations. |
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