This is CBS. I on the world. I'm John Batchel. The Wars of the Future. The proverb from many centuries

is that generals always fight the last war, not the war that's in front of them. And there describes a deal of setbacks and

disappointments and tragedies in the last centuries. The question now is, what is the next war

look like? Does it look like Ukraine with drones and hyper-drive missiles and teams of three

and five advancing from tree line to tree line,

sometimes sharing the tree line with the adversaries, sometimes sharing the building with the

adversary. Is that the next war? Or is it something to do with artificial intelligence?

There's a new article that I recommend to everyone looking to the future.

That would be the year 2050 to me, something I will not see, but I can posture.

The article is about AI and the fear of escalating war, and by that they mean nuclear weapons.

It's just published, and I welcome General Blaine Holt, United States Air Force retired, to help me understand this story.

I've only ever read about war games, sometimes called Tabletops.

This anticipates experience with war games and how AI introduced into war games complicates all planning.

The article begins with the general understanding that escalation is the problem.

Whether you use nukes or not, escalation is the problem.

And AI must be factored into escalation.

General Blaine, a very good evening to you.

The article begins by saying there are three types of escalation,

and I want to go through them one at a time and understand them.

The first is deliberate escalation.

States choose to initiate conflict because they think they have a first strike advantage and can win their objective by

preemptively attacking. That sounds like an aggressor, a predator. Something like Russia attacked

...