S8 Ep203: PREVIEW: General Blaine Holt warns that military war games frequently escalate toward nuclear conflict, a tendency that integrating artificial intelligence might accelerate rather than mitigate. He argues that current models often lead to "civilization co
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 17 December 2025
⏱️ 2 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is John Batchler, a conversation with my colleague General Blaine Holt, the United States Air Force, retired, about war games. |
| 0:08.0 | War games that are now called tabletops. |
| 0:11.4 | And the reading that I've done, I asked Blaine, tells me that they drift towards escalation. |
| 0:19.9 | This is a matter of concern because there's fresh information that AI will enter into war game thinking in future right now. |
| 0:29.7 | And is AI trustworthy in a war game? |
| 0:32.8 | Does it lead to escalation or de-escalation? |
| 0:36.7 | So I asked Blaine about the general opinion of war games that they move towards |
| 0:41.3 | nukes. |
| 0:42.5 | And eventually that's where you're headed. |
| 0:44.6 | Is it accurate? |
| 0:45.7 | He answers in particular. |
| 0:48.6 | Having an AI at the table would not mitigate this. |
| 0:51.7 | It might accelerate it is one observation. Here's Blaine. |
| 0:56.6 | No, it's very accurate. And that's why we have to be so concerned about the rhetoric we see |
| 1:01.8 | in the headlines today of threats of tactical nuclear weapons or dirty bombs. Because all |
| 1:09.0 | the models in the war games, even if you see a tactical nuke go off, |
| 1:14.3 | they eventually lead on an escalatory path where all of the adversaries are using their weapons. |
| 1:21.1 | And that has, you know, that has civilization consequences for it. |
| 1:26.6 | So again, that's, that's what we have to do is we have to work on constructs in these |
| 1:32.3 | war games and simulations for how do we de-escalate a situation even in the face of dire |
| 1:38.3 | geopolitical consequences or circumstances and threats made by an aggressor. |
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