S&P, Nasdaq, Dow's problematic construction; T-Bill rates and yield curve creep
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 9 July 2023
⏱️ 16 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show links:
The Magnificent Seven Or The Mediocre Seven?
SPY: Recent Gains Distract From Weakening Long-Term Price Trend
S&P 500: Buy Summer, Sell Autumn Scenario Favors IVV, XYLG
Replace Some SPY With SHY: 2-Year Treasuries Look Better Than The S&P 500
Forward-Looking Due Diligence
Transcripts available on Seeking Alpha
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I'm Rob Isbits. I'm the Seeking Out of the Contributor and you can find my work under the profile name Modern Income Investor. |
| 0:12.0 | Today I'm joined by my friend and fellow investment |
| 0:14.8 | industry and ETF industry veteran Matthew Tuttle who is now also a |
| 0:20.2 | seeking alpha contributor and in this, we are going to span the globe. |
| 0:26.1 | We're going to look at what's real in today's markets |
| 0:28.6 | and what is mythology, especially in today's markets. And we can talk about what the reason is for that but the |
| 0:35.5 | NASDAQ and the Dow which for a long time much of history or at least moving somewhat in sync with each other even if one was moving a little higher |
| 0:46.1 | the other, they've completely divorced from each other. So what does this mean for the current market environment? |
| 0:55.0 | Not a whole heck of a lot and here's why. |
| 0:59.0 | To me, the Nasdak, the Dow, the S&P, probably the Russell, are just stupid indexes the way they're constructed. |
| 1:11.1 | So right now if you look at, you know at the NASDAQ, you know, how much of that is in seven stocks? |
| 1:18.8 | I think it's, I mean NASDAQ 100, I think it's like, Nasdaq 100 I think it's like you know almost half now maybe even more than that you look at the dow how much is you |
| 1:29.3 | and age because that's the highest price stock. |
| 1:33.0 | So they're just not real good representations, |
| 1:38.0 | except from the standpoint of, |
| 1:41.0 | we know the Magnificent Seven stocks have been doing really, really well and nothing else has been. |
| 1:47.4 | What that also tells us is that probably can't keep going on forever. |
| 1:54.0 | But what I would want to guard against, |
| 1:57.0 | and I play around on Twitter, I think a lot more than you do. |
| 2:01.0 | I think there are a massive amount of permabares who made a lot of money last year and have just gotten |
| 2:10.8 | crushed this year because they're looking at this and saying, |
| 2:14.3 | oh, these stocks keep going up, keep going up, I'm going to short them, I'm going to short them, and |
... |
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