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Wall Street Breakfast

Catalyst Watch: CPI, major bank earnings

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, Investing, Business, News

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 8 July 2023

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to See King Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast, where we cover the top news for investors every morning.

0:07.0

Thanks for joining us today. I'm Julie Morgan, host of Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's Daily flagship podcast.

0:14.4

This is our weekly show all about the catalyst for the upcoming week.

0:18.3

I'm joined by Kim Kahn, he's the senior managing news editor at Seeking Alpha, and the host of our new afternoon show, Wall Street

0:26.4

lunch.

0:27.4

Kim, I know the big story for next week is CPI, but let's pause just for a moment and talk about the jobs numbers that just came out.

0:35.6

We're recording now on Friday, July 7th.

0:38.8

And so the jobs numbers just came out.

0:40.6

Tell me about those.

0:41.7

Yeah, we had June payrolls rise by $209,000 coming in below expectations. That's first time in many months, it's missed. And it was kind of a weird jobs report as there was a huge jump in the ADP private payroll numbers the day before, double estimates, saying nearly 500,000 jobs were added and the markets really traded off that and you have

1:04.0

rates spiking and stocks going down and this is all despite the fact that in the

1:08.7

investing community everybody says oh everybody knows ADP isn't really correlated

1:12.3

the official figures we always kind of dismiss it, but I guess this one was too much of a temptation not to dismiss. So this jobs figure today looked really, really kind of anemic compared to yesterday's ADP number and below expectations but actually underneath

1:27.0

it was another gain of more than 200,000 jobs and unemployment rate falling again down to 3.6%. So I think the market eventually focused on that and

1:37.8

saw like another solid jobs report and something that may be where the Fed is higher than expected wage growth.

1:43.2

Tell me about C. P. Next week. Well, the C. P. is coming out next Wednesday and it's going to be the

1:48.9

last big number before the Fed meeting in July.

1:53.4

The expectations are for a 0.3% rise on headline

1:56.6

and on core, which should bring down the annual rates again.

2:00.6

So people are looking for this continued decline in US inflation, hoping that trend continues.

2:08.0

And the Fed will of course be watching very closely. The market seems to already made up his mind. It's pricing in more than 90% chance that they're going to hike by a quarter point in their next meeting.

2:18.6

Okay, so tell me this. What does this mean for everyone outside the Fed?

...

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