All right, Alexander, let's talk about the military situation in Ukraine.

You believe that the Russian offensive, the big Russian offensive, has probably started.

Why do you believe this?

What are you seeing that many analysts so far are not talking about?

Well, what I'm seeing is that over the last week, perhaps the last couple of days more precisely,

we're starting to see a quickening of the tempo in terms of Russian advances all across the front lines.

Now, we've had in March, early March, the Russians finalising

the battle for Kusk. There's one village, apparently, maybe two villages in course that the

Russians still haven't captured. But having got that aside, having sorted out that problem, we then had that comment from Putin,

that, you know, the time it'd come for the Russian military, which would gain the initiative

right across the front lines to actually start, you know, to finish the job, basically.

And it looks as if the period of the spring thaw, the mud period, has basically now passed. The ground has got a lot harder.

And if you are looking at what's been happening on the front lines, you're now starting to see quite a lot of

movement, much more movement than was the case, say, two weeks ago. And it looks purposeful.

It looks to me as if the Russians are intentionally now putting pressure on the Ukrainians along multiple positions along the front lines.

So I could take you through, you know, where the Russians are pushing.

But can I perhaps give a comparison, which is with the Ukrainian offensive, the famous

Ukrainian offensive of the summer of 2023, which had been talked about for weeks and months,

everybody was expecting it. And then suddenly in June, 2023, began.

And we one saw a lot of movement on the front lines.

But actually, the Ukrainians almost immediately stopped gaining territory.

They found that they were hitting obstacles, that they weren't able to capture the key village of Rabatino,

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