Rethinking the future
Business Daily
BBC
4.4 • 816 Ratings
🗓️ 30 June 2020
⏱️ 19 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The 2020s will be transformational for humanity, according to the tech prophet founders of RethinkX,
Tony Seba and James Arbib talk to Justin Rowlatt about their prediction that a confluence of new technologies - in energy, transportation, and food and materials production - could wipe out poverty and solve climate change in the next 10-15 years, and usher in a new "Age of Freedom" for our species.
But while it sounds utopian, they also warn in their new book Rethinking Humanity that it could pose huge civilizational challenges for a planet that still clings to outdated concepts such as democracy, capitalism and the nation state.
Producer: Laurence Knight
(Picture: Global communications Planet Earth graphic; Credit: metmorworks/Getty Images)
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to Business Daily. I'm Justin Rowlatt, and today I'm exploring the future, |
| 0:06.2 | or at least one very radical vision of it. I'm speaking to two tech profits who claim the world |
| 0:13.2 | is on the cusp of the most transformational upheaval in history. They say a confluence of new |
| 0:19.8 | technologies in energy, in transportation, in food and |
| 0:23.6 | materials could wipe out poverty and solve climate change. And this isn't some hazy vision of a distant |
| 0:31.2 | utopia. They say it could all happen by 2035. That is here on Business Daily. |
| 0:41.8 | We both were invited along to a US military think tank just over four years ago. They were looking |
| 0:47.8 | at a scenario of a rapid energy transition. So they were asking what would it mean for geopolitics |
| 0:52.7 | if we moved off fossil fuels very |
| 0:54.4 | quickly. That is Jamie Arbib. He's one half of the futureological duo behind the Tech Think |
| 1:00.9 | Tank RethinkX. And he is just telling me how he met his intellectual partner, Tony Ziba. |
| 1:07.4 | There were 10 experts, I think, invited along. And eight of them were from very big and august institutions, |
| 1:12.4 | you know, large oil companies, departments of government, big NGOs. |
| 1:16.9 | And they all pretty much had the same straight line forecast for the adoption of solar renewables and |
| 1:22.6 | electric vehicles, you know, forecasting maybe 10, 20% adoption by 2050. |
| 1:31.7 | And I'll never forget Tony getting up and saying, look, this isn't how disruption works. |
| 1:32.9 | It's not slow and linear. |
| 1:34.3 | It's an S-curb. |
| 1:36.7 | This thing is over by the early 2030s. |
| 1:38.5 | We'll have fully electric transportation. |
| 1:41.8 | That idea of the S-curve is central to their thinking. |
| 1:45.9 | Think of it like a dam breaking. First, a new technology arrives as a trickle, barely noticed, then suddenly it escalates into a flood that sweeps away |
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