Republicans Will Win Midterms, Polls Are Wrong
Timcast News
Timcast Media
4.6 • 7.4K Ratings
🗓️ 5 November 2018
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Summary
Republicans Will Win Midterms, Polls Are Wrong at least in my opinion. Many people asked why the Democrats lost the 2016 election when polls shows them heavily favored to win. One reason is that people polled did not reflect the new republican base voting for Donald Trump.
I don't think the polls were able to solve the problem of not reaching Trump's base and because of that I think the Republicans will maintain a majority over Democrats in tomorrow's election.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | In 2016, the polls were wrong and the predictions were wrong. |
| 0:03.2 | Hillary Clinton was heavily favored to win, but she lost. |
| 0:06.1 | Since then, people have been asking, why were the polls so off? |
| 0:09.2 | And some have said, maybe it's because the people being |
| 0:11.8 | pulled do not represent those who voted for Donald Trump. |
| 0:14.9 | That you had independence, you had former Democrats, |
| 0:17.4 | and you had new voters supporting the president. |
| 0:20.2 | Right now they're saying the Democrats have an 85% chance |
| 0:22.8 | of taking the House. |
| 0:24.0 | Why should I believe them now? |
| 0:25.4 | Look, I'm not an expert. |
| 0:27.0 | I'm not a pollster. |
| 0:28.0 | I don't regularly track congressional races, |
| 0:31.0 | but I believe that the Republicans will probably keep everything. |
| 0:34.6 | And I have no fear of being wrong because my career isn't predicated on whether or not |
| 0:38.8 | I can make accurate predictions like the pollsters |
| 0:41.2 | and the people making these predictions. |
| 0:43.3 | Right now, we're hearing from Politico that polls are showing |
| 0:46.8 | the Democrats are losing their lead. |
| 0:48.8 | We're also hearing that Republicans are still maintaining |
| 0:52.3 | a lead when it comes to early voting. |
| 0:54.4 | When I look at this and I look at the reasons |
... |
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